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Valencia Pacific Print Shop 6, Belgrade Beisbol Klub 3       2046-04-18 · #826
at Crooked Field
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                        1    R    H    E
Belgrade                3    3    3    0
Valencia                6    6    9    0

BELGRADE BEISBOL KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Schwarz     rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Popp    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
González    ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Akpınar     cf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Fetfatzidis 2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Bhatti      lf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Nzonzi      3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Dupont      1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Reyes       p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Zdovc   c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Gaye        j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Magee       j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Vukojević   j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  24   3   3   2   0   0   2   4   7   0   0  0.125
  2B: Akpınar (4), Bhatti (6).
  HBP: Akpınar (1), Magee (3).
  GIDP: González (4), Fetfatzidis (4), Bhatti (1), Vukojević (2), Dupont (1).
  a-Ran for Schwarz in the 8th.
  b-Entered at C in the 7th.

VALENCIA PACIFIC PRINT SHOP
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Romano      lf ......    2   2   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Hasegawa    rf ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.667
Toit        cf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Mueller     c  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Kimpembe    3b ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   2   1   1   0  1.000
Zaccagni    2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Hollatz     1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Benedetti   ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Livaja      p  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Giuliani    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Baldasso    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Lehmann     j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.333
Totals                  30   6   9   4   0   0   6   3  15   1   1  0.300
  2B: Romano (8), Toit (4), Kimpembe (2), Livaja (3).
  SB: Lehmann (2).
  CS: Mueller (5).


BELGRADE BEISBOL KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Reyes (L, 0-2) ......    25   21  78%    9    5    5    2   11    0   94    -
Jakobsen ............     7    6  22%    0    1    1    1    4    0   29  1-1

VALENCIA PACIFIC PRINT SHOP PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Livaja (W, 3-1) .....    26   22  81%    3    1    1    4    5    0   70    -
Sifakis (F, 5) ......     4    5  19%    0    2    2    0    2    0   16  3-2

  Batting order: Valencia Pacific Print Shop (home) batted first; Belgrade Beisbol Klub batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM GMT. Weather: 76°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 485676.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 0 Hidehiko Hasegawa Michele Romano (2B) 0–1
B 9 Michele Romano Timo Lehmann (2B) 0–2
B 15 Atticus Kimpembe Atticus Kimpembe (3B) 0–3
B 20 Hidehiko Hasegawa Tin Livaja (2B) 0–4
B 20 Hugo du Toit Michele Romano (2B) 0–5
B 25 Timo Lehmann Hugo du Toit (3B) 0–6
T 18 Djimy Nzonzi Bruno Magee (2B) 1–6
T 23 Bruno Magee Azam Bhatti (3B) 2–6
T 24 Suad Vukojević Niklas Popp (3B) 3–6
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Crooked Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 358' · CF 373' · RF 333' · 14' wall). The Crescent — Inverted.
Belgrade Beisbol Klub — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 1 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
358' 373' 333' Wall 14' Victor Gaye — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 146 ft Azam Bhatti — double_play · EV 54 mph · LA -7° · 52 ft Bruno Magee — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -6° · 49 ft Serge Akpınar — double · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 159 ft Benedikt Schwarz — single · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 222 ft Djimy Nzonzi — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA -3° · 49 ft Alexander Dupont — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -17° · 72 ft Antonis Fetfatzidis — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -11° · 49 ft Azam Bhatti — double · EV 92 mph · LA +39° · 331 ft Suad Vukojević — error · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 155 ft Ricardo González — double_play · EV 62 mph · LA -4° · 59 ft Djimy Nzonzi — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -12° · 87 ft Victor Gaye — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 124 ft Antonis Fetfatzidis — line_out · EV 53 mph · LA +14° · 60 ft Azam Bhatti — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 147 ft Suad Vukojević — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -24° · 49 ft
Valencia Pacific Print Shop — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 5 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
358' 373' 333' Wall 14' Michele Romano — double · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 229 ft Hidehiko Hasegawa — single · EV 100 mph · LA +7° · 95 ft Hugo du Toit — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +43° · 309 ft Karim Mueller — single · EV 100 mph · LA -11° · 95 ft Timo Lehmann — single · EV 96 mph · LA -10° · 91 ft Atticus Kimpembe — double · EV 100 mph · LA +22° · 282 ft Michele Romano — single · EV 119 mph · LA +2° · 113 ft Hugo du Toit — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 216 ft Tin Livaja — double · EV 100 mph · LA +19° · 243 ft Hidehiko Hasegawa — single · EV 88 mph · LA +19° · 189 ft Hugo du Toit — double · EV 117 mph · LA +14° · 261 ft Timo Lehmann — fly_out · EV 90 mph · LA +34° · 296 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Belgrade Beisbol Klub
49% deserve-to-win  ·  5.7 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -2.7 vs expected
contact: 7.7 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-2.7 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Serge Akpınar 92 / +14° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.13
Azam Bhatti 92 / +39° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Suad Vukojević 92 / +14° Pull Reached on Error 0.9 → 0 -0.87
Victor Gaye 76 / +20° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Victor Gaye 76 / +16° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Valencia Pacific Print Shop
51% deserve-to-win  ·  5.8 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +0.2 vs expected
contact: 13.3 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (-1.3 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Hugo du Toit 100 / +16° Pull Out 1.6 → 0 -1.56
Hugo du Toit 88 / +43° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Timo Lehmann 90 / +34° Oppo Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Atticus Kimpembe 100 / +22° Pull Stay 1.6 → 1 -0.56
Karim Mueller 100 / -11° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.47
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