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Smirnykh Storms 10, New York Baseball Club 10  (4 SI)        2046-04-18 · #819
at Hyyrynen Park
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                        1      S    R    H    E
New York               10      0   10   11    0
Smirnykh               10      0   10   10    0

NEW YORK BASEBALL CLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Guerrero    3b ......    5   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Kitler      lf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.250
Nuveman-Den c  ......    5   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.400
Solliday    2b ......    5   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.200
Paret       ss ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  a-Díaz    c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Vrolijk     cf ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.333
Gilleaudeau 1b ......    5   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Moultrie    rf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Daniels     p  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Eldredge    j  ......    4   2   3   1   0   1   6   0   0   0   0  0.750
Moffi       j  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  46  10  11   4   0   1  10   4  17   0   0  0.239
  2B: Eldredge (8), Moffi (3), Paret (3), Vrolijk (1).
  HR: Eldredge (3), off Dzalamidze.
  CS: Nuveman-Deniz (1).
  GIDP: Nuveman-Deniz (1), Moffi (1).
  a-Replaced Paret at C in the 7th.

SMIRNYKH STORMS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fuimaono    1b ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Chang   pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Kravchenko  p  ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.250
  b-Su      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Tcherne ss ......    4   2   2   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.500
  d-Coonin  cf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Pervak  ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Reyngol rf ......    5   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   4   0   0  0.000
  g-Reyes   c  ......    5   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  h-Simakin 2b ......    5   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   3   0   0  0.200
  i-Mykhayl ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  j-Wildero ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  k-Rongo   pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Gormanov    j  ......    5   2   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.400
Amini       j  ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.500
Totals                  44  10  10   5   0   0  10   7  18   0   0  0.227
  2B: Tchernenko (2), Coonin (2), Gormanov (6), Fuimaono (2), Mykhaylichenko (4).
  HBP: Fuimaono (1).
  GIDP: Su (2).
  a-Ran for Fuimaono in the 5th.
  b-Entered at C in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at SS in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  e-Entered at SS in the 4th.
  f-Entered at RF in the 4th.
  g-Entered at C in the 4th.
  h-Entered at 2B in the 5th.
  i-Doubled for Coonin in the 6th.
  j-Batted for Pervak in the 6th.
  k-Ran for Mykhaylichenko in the 6th.

NEW YORK BASEBALL CLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Daniels .............    28   21  78%    5    5    5    3    6    0  109    -
Lora ................    11    6  22%    3    5    5    2    4    0   35  1-1
Aguilar .............    12   11  41%    1    0    0    2    8    0   53  1-0

SMIRNYKH STORMS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kravchenko ..........    31   26  96%    7    1    1    1   15    0  119    -
Dzalamidze ..........     5    2   7%    1    5    5    2    0    1    7  2-2
Dementieva ..........    14   10  37%    3    4    4    1    2    0   60  1-1

  Batting order: Smirnykh Storms (home) batted second; New York Baseball Club batted first.
  Super-innings: 4.
  Seconds: NYB o26 (10-0), SS1 o26 (10-10).
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 57°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain. seed 613575.
  Walk-Back runs: off Dementieva 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 14 Baboucarr Moffi Chris Solliday (1B) 1–0
T 15 Alafia Moultrie Victor Paret (2B) 2–0
T 16 Murphy Eldredge Baboucarr Moffi (3B) 3–0
T 16 Murphy Eldredge Glenn Vrolijk (2B) 4–0
T 16 Murphy Eldredge Liam Daniels (1B) 5–0
T 16 Murphy Eldredge Murphy Eldredge (HR) 6–0
T 16 Hanley Guerrero Murphy Eldredge (3B) 7–0
T 16 Norm Nuveman-Deniz Hanley Guerrero (2B) 8–0
T 26 Murphy Eldredge Fred Kitler (2B) 9–0
T 26 Murphy Eldredge Glenn Vrolijk (1B) 10–0
B 5 Ruslan Simakin Nikolay Tchernenko (3B) 10–1
B 8 Nikolay Tchernenko Ruslan Simakin (3B) 10–2
B 8 Nikolay Tchernenko Samson Fuimaono (2B) 10–3
B 9 Rhyne Coonin Terrance Gormanov (2B) 10–4
B 9 Rhyne Coonin Tommy Amini (1B) 10–5
B 14 Samson Fuimaono Rhyne Coonin (3B) 10–6
B 15 Terrance Gormanov Talib Chang (3B) 10–7
B 15 Terrance Gormanov Nikolay Tchernenko (2B) 10–8
B 15 Roman Mykhaylichenko Terrance Gormanov (2B) 10–9
B 15 Roman Mykhaylichenko Tommy Amini (1B) 10–10
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Hyyrynen Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 307' · CF 355' · RF 279' · 48' wall). The Bandbox.
Wire Basket
New York Baseball Club — Batted Balls
26 BIP· 6 1B · 4 XBH · 1 HR
307' 355' 279' Wall 48' Murphy Eldredge — infield_single · EV 72 mph · LA -6° · 68 ft Baboucarr Moffi — line_out · EV 93 mph · LA +13° · 150 ft Glenn Vrolijk — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA +7° · 78 ft Alafia Moultrie — single · EV 93 mph · LA +10° · 120 ft Hanley Guerrero — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -3° · 78 ft Norm Nuveman-Deniz — double_play · EV 74 mph · LA +7° · 71 ft Murphy Eldredge — fly_out · EV 109 mph · LA +51° · 460 ft Chris Solliday — single · EV 81 mph · LA +22° · 177 ft Baboucarr Moffi — double · EV 104 mph · LA +11° · 165 ft Victor Paret — double · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 146 ft Clark Gilleaudeau — line_out · EV 69 mph · LA +12° · 78 ft Alafia Moultrie — ground_out · EV 105 mph · LA +9° · 131 ft Fred Kitler — single · EV 92 mph · LA +7° · 88 ft Glenn Vrolijk — double · EV 100 mph · LA +27° · 322 ft Murphy Eldredge — hr · EV 105 mph · LA +38° · 428 ft Hanley Guerrero — error · EV 74 mph · LA -0° · 71 ft Norm Nuveman-Deniz — single · EV 97 mph · LA +5° · 92 ft Chris Solliday — fly_out · EV 69 mph · LA +47° · 188 ft Baboucarr Moffi — double_play · EV 75 mph · LA -18° · 71 ft Fred Kitler — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +29° · 240 ft Liam Daniels — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +31° · 205 ft Hanley Guerrero — line_out · EV 84 mph · LA +18° · 167 ft Murphy Eldredge — double · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 215 ft Clark Gilleaudeau — fly_out · EV 75 mph · LA +47° · 224 ft Alafia Moultrie — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA +6° · 89 ft Norm Nuveman-Deniz — single · EV 77 mph · LA +15° · 119 ft
Smirnykh Storms — Batted Balls
23 BIP· 4 1B · 5 XBH · 0 HR
307' 355' 279' Wall 48' Nikolay Tchernenko — single · EV 74 mph · LA +19° · 136 ft Terry Reyes — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +16° · 142 ft Ruslan Simakin — single · EV 74 mph · LA -0° · 71 ft Mike Kravchenko — single · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 162 ft Rhyne Coonin — double · EV 102 mph · LA +19° · 259 ft Jianhua Su — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA -30° · 66 ft Samson Fuimaono — double · EV 107 mph · LA +19° · 281 ft Roman Mykhaylichenko — double · EV 89 mph · LA +16° · 166 ft Terrance Gormanov — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +46° · 296 ft Nikolay Tchernenko — double · EV 105 mph · LA +27° · 360 ft Tommy Amini — single · EV 93 mph · LA +9° · 110 ft Jianhua Su — fielders_choice · EV 88 mph · LA -4° · 84 ft Jarvis Wilderov — ground_out · EV 53 mph · LA -10° · 51 ft Talib Chang — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA -4° · 54 ft Terrance Gormanov — fielders_choice · EV 79 mph · LA +9° · 74 ft Jianhua Su — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -8° · 72 ft Terrance Gormanov — double · EV 101 mph · LA +14° · 185 ft Terry Reyes — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +28° · 257 ft Ruslan Simakin — line_out · EV 94 mph · LA +17° · 201 ft Nikolay Tchernenko — fly_out · EV 56 mph · LA +29° · 105 ft Terrance Gormanov — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +47° · 292 ft Terry Reyes — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Grigori Reyngold — fielders_choice · EV 54 mph · LA -2° · 51 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
New York Baseball Club
51% deserve-to-win  ·  11.2 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  -1.2 vs expected
contact: 18.8 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 18.0 (-0.8 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Murphy Eldredge 109 / +51° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.53
Alafia Moultrie 105 / +9° Oppo Out 1.4 → 0 -1.41
Victor Paret 92 / +13° Oppo Double 0.9 → 2 +1.13
Murphy Eldredge 105 / +38° Oppo Home Run 3.0 → 4 +0.99
Murphy Eldredge 92 / +20° Oppo Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Smirnykh Storms
49% deserve-to-win  ·  11.1 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  -1.1 vs expected
contact: 15.7 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 14.0 (-1.7 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Roman Mykhaylichenko 89 / +16° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.13
Ruslan Simakin 94 / +17° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Terry Reyes 88 / +28° Oppo Out 0.8 → 0 -0.80
Terrance Gormanov 101 / +14° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.76
Ruslan Simakin 74 / +0° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
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