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Istanbul Police 7, Graz Broncos 6                            2046-04-18 · #816
at Istanbul Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
Graz                    6    6    9    0
Istanbul                7    7    8    0

GRAZ BRONCOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Schiffman   ss ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   1   0  0.333
Webó        lf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Javed   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Jones       1b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Jadhav  1b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Covilhã     c  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Ndour       rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Gueye   ph ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
  d-Naidji  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  e-Abebe   pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Pandey  ph ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
  g-Hakimi  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Ndlovu  pr ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  i-Stalder rf ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Collins     j  ......    0   2   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0   0   .000
Bothma      j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mazarura    j  ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Totals                  28   6   9   3   0   0   6   7  11   1   0  0.321
  2B: Schiffman (3), Pandey (2), Stalder (1).
  SB: Pandey (1).
  CS: Javed (3), Mazarura (2).
  a-Ran for Webó in the 1st.
  b-Replaced Jones at 1B in the 6th.
  c-Batted in the 2nd.
  d-Walked for Mazarura in the 2nd.
  e-Ran for Naidji in the 3rd.
  f-Batted in the 3rd.
  g-Batted in the 4th.
  h-Ran in the 4th.
  i-Entered at RF in the 5th.

ISTANBUL POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Heredia     p  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Boudiaf     ss ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   1   0  0.667
Asefa       c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Wanjiru     1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Zerihun     2b ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
  a-Sima    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Bendeck     lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Maïga       rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Beach   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Sacko   nf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Wallace cf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  e-Zaki    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  f-Kouassi ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mhlawuli    j  ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   0  0.667
Getahun     j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Onumonu     j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  25   7   8   2   0   0   5   6   9   2   0  0.320
  2B: Heredia (2), Getahun (5).
  SB: Boudiaf (2).
  HBP: Bendeck (1).
  GIDP: Beach (1).
  a-Ran for Zerihun in the 7th.
  b-Grounded out for Maïga in the 6th.
  c-Entered at NF in the 7th.
  d-Entered at CF in the 7th.
  e-Ran in the 7th.
  f-Struck out for Sima in the 8th.

GRAZ BRONCOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Boganowski (L, 0-1) .    13    8  30%    6    3    3    1    5    0   55    -
Genovese ............    15   12  44%    1    2    2    4    3    0   41  2-0
Semenyo .............     4    4  15%    1    2    2    1    1    0   13  3-2

ISTANBUL POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Heredia (W, 3-0) ....    30   24  89%    7    5    5    7    9    0  100    -
Crawford ............     4    3  11%    1    1    1    0    2    0   14  2-1

  Batting order: Istanbul Police (home) batted second; Graz Broncos batted first.
  First pitch 6:30 PM EET. Weather: 83°F · Wind in · Clear · Light rain · Dry. seed 340389.
  Powerplays: Istanbul Police — Sacko NF (O10)
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 14 Wellington Mazarura Garang Collins (2B) 1–0
T 22 Mitty Schiffman Udanta Pandey (3B) 2–0
T 24 Ethan Stalder Garang Collins (2B) 3–0
T 24 Ethan Stalder Wellington Mazarura (1B) 4–0
T 24 Chimezie Gueye Ethan Stalder (2B) 5–0
T 25 Phathisa Ndlovu Pradip Jadhav (2B) 6–0
B 5 Stephane Onumonu Abraham Zerihun (3B) 6–1
B 6 Godfrey Bendeck Stephane Onumonu (3B) 6–2
B 8 Oussama Boudiaf Mothobi Mhlawuli (3B) 6–3
B 20 Mohammed Getahun Elisha Sima (3B) 6–4
B 20 Stephane Onumonu Jesse Wallace (3B) 6–5
B 20 Mothobi Mhlawuli Marwan Zaki (3B) 6–6
B 24 Katlego Zondi Mohammed Getahun (3B) 6–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Istanbul Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 331' · CF 421' · RF 346' · 37' wall). Balanced.
Crow's Nest
Graz Broncos — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 5 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
331' 421' 346' Wall 37' Peter Bothma — line_out · EV 81 mph · LA +22° · 186 ft Chimezie Gueye — fly_out · EV 85 mph · LA +36° · 278 ft Wellington Mazarura — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -25° · 83 ft Nelson Covilhã — single · EV 116 mph · LA +4° · 111 ft Mitty Schiffman — fly_out · EV 95 mph · LA +32° · 325 ft Wellington Mazarura — single · EV 78 mph · LA +11° · 94 ft Chimezie Gueye — line_out · EV 97 mph · LA +12° · 147 ft Udanta Pandey — double · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 146 ft Ethan Stalder — double · EV 88 mph · LA +15° · 152 ft Bezabeh Abebe — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +27° · 327 ft Phathisa Ndlovu — single · EV 84 mph · LA +18° · 161 ft Mitty Schiffman — double · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 233 ft Wellington Mazarura — single · EV 92 mph · LA -9° · 87 ft Chimezie Gueye — single · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 156 ft Mitty Schiffman — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA -9° · 94 ft
Istanbul Police — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 5 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
331' 421' 346' Wall 37' Abdi Asefa — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 111 ft Mohammed Getahun — double · EV 92 mph · LA +34° · 312 ft Stephane Onumonu — single · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 149 ft Mothobi Mhlawuli — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 134 ft Néstor Heredia — double · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 153 ft Tom Beach — double_play · EV 78 mph · LA +9° · 74 ft Oussama Boudiaf — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 113 ft Abdi Asefa — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +27° · 275 ft Stephane Onumonu — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +37° · 222 ft Mothobi Mhlawuli — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +9° · 100 ft Jesse Wallace — single · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft Oussama Boudiaf — single · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 140 ft Oussama Boudiaf — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +34° · 312 ft Mothobi Mhlawuli — error · EV 70 mph · LA -33° · 67 ft Tom Wanjiru — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 184 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Graz Broncos
57% deserve-to-win  ·  8.1 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -2.1 vs expected
contact: 13.0 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (-3.0 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 2 CS (-1.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Bezabeh Abebe 100 / +27° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.38
Chimezie Gueye 97 / +12° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Ethan Stalder 88 / +15° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.13
Mitty Schiffman 95 / +32° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Udanta Pandey 100 / +11° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.76
Istanbul Police
43% deserve-to-win  ·  6.9 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +0.1 vs expected
contact: 8.8 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (+1.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Néstor Heredia 92 / +13° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.13
Oussama Boudiaf 92 / +34° Oppo Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Mohammed Getahun 92 / +34° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Mothobi Mhlawuli 92 / +9° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.87
Abdi Asefa 92 / +27° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.80
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