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Sapporo Sentinels 4, Bridgetown Royal Provisioners 3         2046-04-18 · #814
at Adams Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Bridgetown              3    3    7    0
Sapporo                 4    4    4    0

BRIDGETOWN ROYAL PROVISIONERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Moulton     rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Castrov ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
MacCracken  ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
McKinzie    cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Ramón       lf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
McGill      1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Germán      3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Mehmedb pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Eakin       c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  c-Boston  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Ramón       2b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  d-Cardona ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Alexander-F p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  e-Moten   p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Schellenger j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ison        j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  30   3   7   1   0   0   2   3   9   0   0  0.233
  2B: Ramón (2).
  CS: Ramón (4).
  GIDP: MacCracken (2).
  a-Walked for Moulton in the 9th.
  b-Ran for Germán in the 8th.
  c-Ran for Eakin in the 9th.
  d-Struck out for Ramón in the 8th.
  e-Entered at P in the 9th.

SAPPORO SENTINELS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Harbour     rf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Limar       lf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
López       3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Amrouche    ss ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Shelburne   1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Newman      c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Anwar       cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Shiraishi   p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Hofer   c  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Ludloff     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Arias       j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Yu          j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  17   4   4   0   0   0   4   1   6   0   0  0.235
  SB: Harbour (1).
  HBP: Limar (2).
  Squeeze: Limar (1 RBI), López.
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

BRIDGETOWN ROYAL PROVISIONERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Alexander-Fe (L, 2-2)     16   13  48%    2    4    4    1    6    0   50    -

SAPPORO SENTINELS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Shiraishi (W, 3-2) ..    32   27 100%    7    3    3    3    9    0  121    -

  Batting order: Sapporo Sentinels (home) batted second; Bridgetown Royal Provisioners batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM YAKT. Weather: 53°F · Wind out · Clear. seed 349974.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 6 Cedric Alexander-Felton Vince McGill (3B) 1–0
T 10 Vince McGill Sadiel Ramón (3B) 2–0
T 26 Bryan Castrovilli Noel Boston (3B) 3–0
B 7 Shadab Anwar Maciek Limar (2B) 3–1
B 8 Takuya Shiraishi Augustine Amrouche (3B) 3–2
B 11 Basil Arias Jacques Hofer (3B) 3–3
B 13 Maciek Limar Norman Harbour (3B) 3–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Adams Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 357' · CF 412' · RF 308' · 9' wall). Balanced.
Bridgetown Royal Provisioners — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 6 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
357' 412' 308' Guerby Moulton — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +28° · 198 ft Knahlij MacCracken — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +29° · 266 ft Néstor Ramón — line_out · EV 86 mph · LA +19° · 180 ft Vince McGill — single · EV 88 mph · LA +13° · 135 ft Albert Germán — line_out · EV 83 mph · LA +16° · 150 ft Kallen Eakin — fly_out · EV 79 mph · LA +33° · 225 ft Sadiel Ramón — double · EV 92 mph · LA +22° · 231 ft Cedric Alexander-Felton — single · EV 88 mph · LA +3° · 83 ft Avery Schellenger — fly_out · EV 91 mph · LA +43° · 333 ft Clifford Ison — line_out · EV 94 mph · LA +18° · 205 ft Hubertus Moten — single · EV 61 mph · LA -6° · 58 ft Néstor Ramón — single · EV 86 mph · LA +15° · 148 ft Sadiel Ramón — fielders_choice · EV 69 mph · LA +3° · 66 ft Albert Germán — single · EV 68 mph · LA +17° · 105 ft Avery Schellenger — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +44° · 281 ft Knahlij MacCracken — double_play · EV 83 mph · LA -5° · 79 ft Kallen Eakin — single · EV 83 mph · LA +25° · 210 ft
Sapporo Sentinels — Batted Balls
7 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
357' 412' 308' Norman Harbour — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +16° · 133 ft Augustine Amrouche — single · EV 81 mph · LA -0° · 77 ft Shadab Anwar — ground_out · EV 57 mph · LA -19° · 54 ft Takuya Shiraishi — ground_out · EV 96 mph · LA +8° · 109 ft Damion Ludloff — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 106 ft Basil Arias — single · EV 83 mph · LA +12° · 113 ft Augustine Amrouche — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -15° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Bridgetown Royal Provisioners
85% deserve-to-win  ·  4.3 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -1.3 vs expected
contact: 9.9 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (-1.9 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Avery Schellenger 91 / +43° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Clifford Ison 94 / +18° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Sadiel Ramón 92 / +22° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Hubertus Moten 61 / -6° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.85
Knahlij MacCracken 88 / +29° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.80
Sapporo Sentinels
15% deserve-to-win  ·  1.8 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +2.2 vs expected
contact: 3.6 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-1.6 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Takuya Shiraishi 96 / +8° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Augustine Amrouche 81 / +0° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.64
Norman Harbour 80 / +16° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.51
Damion Ludloff 76 / +14° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.51
Basil Arias 83 / +12° Pull Single 0.6 → 1 +0.38
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