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Tynda Police 6, Barquisimeto Grocery 5                       2046-04-18 · #809
at Twilight Field
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                        1    R    H    E
Barquisimeto            5    5    5    0
Tynda                   6    6    7    0

BARQUISIMETO GROCERY
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Warneke     cf ......    2   3   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Sandoval    rf ......    3   1   1   0   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  0.333
O'Meara     c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Salas       lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Sulfsted    ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Hulbert     1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Brunette    3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Zivkovic    2b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Weld        p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   .000
Heslip      j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Concepción  j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   5   5   0   0   2   4   4   7   0   1  0.192
  HR: Warneke (1), off Iakovlev; Sandoval (2), off Kuzyayev.
  SB: Concepción (4).
  CS: Concepción (2).


TYNDA POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kukushkin   c  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Chernov     2b ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Komatsu     1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Matviyenko  lf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Berger      3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Iakovlev    p  ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Keramid ph ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Ding    cf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Han     2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Michael     j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Nelson      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Aoki        j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  12   6   7   2   0   1   6   0   1   0   0  0.583
  2B: Chernov (1), Ding (3).
  HR: Iakovlev (1), off Santamaria.
  CS: Chernov (1).
  a-Singled in the 2nd.
  b-Entered at CF in the 7th.
  c-Entered at 2B in the 8th.

BARQUISIMETO GROCERY PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Weld ................     6    3  11%    3    2    2    0    0    0   20    -
Brunnberg (L, 0-2) ..     4    3  11%    2    3    3    0    1    0   12  2-2
Santamaria ..........     1    0   0%    1    1    1    0    0    1    1    -

TYNDA POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Iakovlev ............     4    3  11%    1    2    1    0    0    1   15    -
Kuzyayev ............     7    5  19%    2    3    3    1    2    1   20    -
Karavayev (W, 1-1) ..    16   16  59%    1    0    0    3    5    0   70  1-0
Ledovskikh ..........     3    3  11%    1    0    0    0    0    0    7  1-0

  Batting order: Tynda Police (home) batted second; Barquisimeto Grocery batted first.
  First pitch 7:35 PM YAKT. Weather: 40°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 114807.
  Walk-Back runs: off Iakovlev 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 0 Levar Warneke Levar Warneke (HR) 1–0
T 0 Rómulo Sandoval Levar Warneke (3B) 2–0
T 8 Rómulo Sandoval Noah Zivkovic (2B) 3–0
T 8 Rómulo Sandoval Levar Warneke (1B) 4–0
T 8 Rómulo Sandoval Rómulo Sandoval (HR) 5–0
B 2 Yūto Komatsu Denys Matviyenko (2B) 5–1
B 3 Panagiotis Keramidas Roman Kukushkin (3B) 5–2
B 3 Chenxi Ding Silvio Michael (2B) 5–3
B 3 Chenxi Ding Panagiotis Keramidas (1B) 5–4
B 3 Aleksandr Chernov Chenxi Ding (2B) 5–5
B 6 Fyodor Iakovlev Fyodor Iakovlev (HR) 5–6
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Twilight Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 270' · CF 419' · RF 319' · 28' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Hand-Operated Scoreboard Tal's Hill
Barquisimeto Grocery — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 2 HR
270' 419' 319' Wall 28' Levar Warneke — hr · EV 111 mph · LA +30° · 424 ft Rómulo Sandoval — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +8° · 86 ft Tally Heslip — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA -11° · 81 ft Yangervis Salas — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +8° · 78 ft Donny Hulbert — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA -2° · 76 ft Noah Zivkovic — single · EV 86 mph · LA -8° · 81 ft Heissler Concepción — fielders_choice · EV 83 mph · LA -5° · 79 ft Rómulo Sandoval — hr · EV 101 mph · LA +36° · 390 ft Zane Sulfsted — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Rómulo Sandoval — line_out · EV 90 mph · LA +16° · 172 ft Darwin O'Meara — single · EV 81 mph · LA -4° · 77 ft Donny Hulbert — fly_out · EV 112 mph · LA +22° · 354 ft Leo Brunette — single · EV 83 mph · LA -9° · 79 ft Noah Zivkovic — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA +12° · 109 ft
Tynda Police — Batted Balls
9 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
270' 419' 319' Wall 28' Josiah Nelson — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +8° · 111 ft Shozo Aoki — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -7° · 73 ft Denys Matviyenko — single · EV 90 mph · LA +0° · 86 ft Yūto Komatsu — error · EV 77 mph · LA +23° · 168 ft Silvio Michael — single · EV 91 mph · LA -14° · 86 ft Panagiotis Keramidas — single · EV 112 mph · LA +14° · 238 ft Chenxi Ding — double · EV 95 mph · LA +16° · 187 ft Aleksandr Chernov — double · EV 108 mph · LA +23° · 342 ft Fyodor Iakovlev — hr · EV 115 mph · LA +35° · 480 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Barquisimeto Grocery
70% deserve-to-win  ·  6.1 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -1.1 vs expected
contact: 11.4 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (-0.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Rómulo Sandoval 101 / +36° Center Home Run 2.0 → 4 +1.98
Donny Hulbert 112 / +22° Oppo Out 1.7 → 0 -1.72
Levar Warneke 111 / +30° Center Home Run 2.4 → 4 +1.63
Rómulo Sandoval 90 / +16° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Rómulo Sandoval 88 / +8° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.87
Tynda Police
30% deserve-to-win  ·  4.0 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +2.0 vs expected
contact: 10.7 est bases + 0 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (+0.3 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Josiah Nelson 100 / +8° Oppo Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Chenxi Ding 95 / +16° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.13
Yūto Komatsu 77 / +23° Center Reached on Error 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Denys Matviyenko 90 / +0° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Silvio Michael 91 / -14° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.57
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