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Regensburg Samurai 2, Rijeka Beisbol Klub 1                  2046-04-18 · #803
at Rowaiye Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Rijeka                  1    1    4    0
Regensburg              2    2    2    0

RIJEKA BEISBOL KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Tamminen    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Toivonen    cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Magull  pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Aalto       rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Karppin pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Klose       1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Jokela  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mustafi     lf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Koponen pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Jaakkola    3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Baumann     p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Halonen ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  f-Bühl    ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  g-Carleto pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Muurinen    j  ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Mikkonen    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Nurmi       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Totals                  25   1   4   1   0   0   1   4  16   0   0  0.160
  2B: Muurinen (3).
  SB: Koponen (3).
  CS: Karppinen (2), Koponen (1).
  a-Ran for Toivonen in the 1st.
  b-Ran for Aalto in the 1st.
  c-Ran for Klose in the 2nd.
  d-Ran for Mustafi in the 2nd.
  e-Batted in the 3rd.
  f-Batted in the 4th.
  g-Ran in the 5th.

REGENSBURG SAMURAI
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Vukojević   lf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Magbegor    j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                   2   2   2   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  HR: Magbegor (4), off Baumann.


RIJEKA BEISBOL KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Baumann (L, 0-2) ....     2    0   0%    2    2    2    0    0    1    6    -

REGENSBURG SAMURAI PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kallio (W, 1-1) .....    17   15  56%    3    0    0    3    9    0   68    -
Moilanen ............    12   12  44%    1    1    1    1    7    0   47  2-1

  Batting order: Regensburg Samurai (home) batted second; Rijeka Beisbol Klub batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 79°F · Wind calm · Overcast. seed 844593.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 23 Lauri Muurinen Brunno Carleton (3B) 1–0
B 0 Jeff Magbegor Danijel Vukojević (1B) 1–1
B 0 Jeff Magbegor Jeff Magbegor (HR) 1–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Rowaiye Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 273' · CF 364' · RF 291' · 51' wall). The Bandbox.
Rijeka Beisbol Klub — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
273' 364' 291' Wall 51' Jaakko Tamminen — line_out · EV 86 mph · LA +20° · 188 ft Jorma Toivonen — single · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 163 ft Toni Aalto — single · EV 90 mph · LA -9° · 85 ft Lukas Karppinen — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +34° · 215 ft Brunno Carleton — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 116 ft Lauri Muurinen — double · EV 92 mph · LA +33° · 311 ft Alexander Baumann — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 134 ft Lauri Muurinen — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 91 ft
Regensburg Samurai — Batted Balls
2 BIP· 1 1B · 0 XBH · 1 HR
273' 364' 291' Wall 51' Danijel Vukojević — single · EV 92 mph · LA +11° · 122 ft Jeff Magbegor — hr · EV 101 mph · LA +38° · 395 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Rijeka Beisbol Klub
47% deserve-to-win  ·  1.3 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -0.3 vs expected
contact: 5.1 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-0.1 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 2 CS (-1.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Lauri Muurinen 92 / +33° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Alexander Baumann 92 / +12° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.87
Jaakko Tamminen 86 / +20° Oppo Out 0.7 → 0 -0.72
Toni Aalto 90 / -9° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.55
Brunno Carleton 76 / +15° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.51
Regensburg Samurai
53% deserve-to-win  ·  1.3 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  +0.7 vs expected
contact: 2.9 est bases + 0 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (+2.1 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jeff Magbegor 101 / +38° Oppo Home Run 2.0 → 4 +1.98
Danijel Vukojević 92 / +11° Pull Single 0.9 → 1 +0.13
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