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Istanbul Police 9, Quezon City Baseball Club 5               2046-04-17 · #768
at Istanbul Bowl
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Quezon City             5      0    5    6    0
Istanbul                9      -    9   11    1

QUEZON CITY BASEBALL CLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Moucketou-M cf ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
  a-Sissako pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Correia     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  0.000
  b-Mezui   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bouazizi    ss ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Angeldahl   rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Maphumulo   3b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  c-Gouet   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Demissie    c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Girma   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Tawfik      2b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Metwally    1b ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Worku       lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Ndlovu      j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
Estes       j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Mvala       j  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   5   6   2   0   0   5   5  14   0   1  0.207
  2B: Maphumulo (1), Metwally (1).
  SB: Ndlovu (7), Bouazizi 2 (5).
  CS: Ndlovu (3), Bouazizi (1).
  a-Ran for Moucketou-Moussounda in the 8th.
  b-Struck out for Correia in the 6th.
  c-Grounded out for Maphumulo in the 8th.
  d-Struck out for Demissie in the 8th.

ISTANBUL POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Boudiaf     ss ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Raharison   3b ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Butt        lf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   1   0  1.000
Zaki        rf ......    3   1   3   0   0   0   2   0   0   1   0  1.000
Bendeck     1b ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Ensino      cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Kalou       2b ......    4   1   3   0   0   0   2   0   1   1   0  0.750
Acebo       c  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   2   1   1   0   1  0.000
Greyling    p  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Asefa   ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Getahun     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Onumonu     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Mhlawuli    j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  28   9  11   2   0   0   8   8   5   3   1  0.393
  2B: Raharison (6), Butt (11).
  SB: Butt (2), Zaki (2).
  E: Boudiaf (6).
  a-Batted for Greyling in the 6th.

QUEZON CITY BASEBALL CLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Correia (L, 1-3) ....    17   12  44%    9    5    5    3    0    0   73    -
Atal ................    16   12  44%    2    4    4    5    4    0   58  2-2
Bang ................     2    3  11%    0    0    0    0    1    0    9  2-0

ISTANBUL POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Greyling (W, 4-0) ...    27   21  78%    6    5    5    3   10    0   95    -
Dotson (F, 6) .......     7    6  22%    0    0    0    2    4    0   21  2-0

  Batting order: Istanbul Police (home) batted first; Quezon City Baseball Club batted second.
  Seconds: QCB o25 (5-9).
  First pitch 6:30 PM EET. Weather: 69°F · Wind in · Clear · Light rain. seed 538241.
  Powerplays: Quezon City Baseball Club — Mezui NF (O4)
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 1 Marwan Zaki Oussama Boudiaf (3B) 0–1
B 3 Ivane Kalou Marwan Zaki (3B) 0–2
B 3 Brett Acebo Godfrey Bendeck (3B) 0–3
B 8 Brett Acebo Morne Greyling (3B) 0–4
B 12 Dries Butt Ivane Kalou (3B) 0–5
B 16 Abdi Asefa Godfrey Bendeck (3B) 0–6
B 16 Brett Acebo Dries Butt (3B) 0–7
B 16 Ivane Kalou Mothobi Mhlawuli (3B) 0–8
B 19 Marwan Zaki Brett Acebo (2B) 0–9
T 10 Nkosana Ndlovu Hamed Moucketou-Moussounda (3B) 1–9
T 11 Edmilson Correia Islam Tawfik (3B) 2–9
T 15 Tapelo Maphumulo Serge Mvala (1B) 3–9
T 17 Khaled Metwally Tapelo Maphumulo (2B) 4–9
T 18 Nkosana Ndlovu Khaled Metwally (2B) 5–9
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Istanbul Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 331' · CF 421' · RF 346' · 37' wall). Balanced.
Crow's Nest
Quezon City Baseball Club — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 4 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
331' 421' 346' Wall 37' Edmilson Correia — line_out · EV 87 mph · LA +11° · 110 ft Nkosana Ndlovu — single · EV 81 mph · LA +4° · 77 ft Manasse Estes — single · EV 79 mph · LA +11° · 90 ft Abdelkader Bouazizi — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft Tapelo Maphumulo — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA +1° · 83 ft Anbessa Demissie — ground_out · EV 61 mph · LA -8° · 58 ft Islam Tawfik — single · EV 99 mph · LA +4° · 94 ft Eddie Gouet — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 136 ft Nkosana Ndlovu — error · EV 52 mph · LA +9° · 60 ft Abdelkader Bouazizi — single · EV 80 mph · LA -16° · 76 ft Serge Mvala — fielders_choice · EV 70 mph · LA +5° · 67 ft Tapelo Maphumulo — double · EV 94 mph · LA +10° · 120 ft Khaled Metwally — double · EV 92 mph · LA +35° · 322 ft Nkosana Ndlovu — ground_out · EV 65 mph · LA -14° · 62 ft Khaled Metwally — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +2° · 80 ft
Istanbul Police — Batted Balls
23 BIP· 8 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
331' 421' 346' Wall 37' Nomenjanahary Raharison — double · EV 96 mph · LA +23° · 264 ft Marwan Zaki — single · EV 65 mph · LA +12° · 66 ft Godfrey Bendeck — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 114 ft Elsadig Ensino — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 66 ft Ivane Kalou — single · EV 52 mph · LA +14° · 60 ft Brett Acebo — fielders_choice · EV 62 mph · LA -5° · 59 ft Morne Greyling — fielders_choice · EV 70 mph · LA -12° · 66 ft Mohammed Getahun — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 183 ft Mothobi Mhlawuli — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 135 ft Dries Butt — double · EV 86 mph · LA +34° · 277 ft Abdi Asefa — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 114 ft Marwan Zaki — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 90 ft Dries Butt — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +32° · 206 ft Ivane Kalou — single · EV 92 mph · LA -4° · 87 ft Elsadig Ensino — fly_out · EV 65 mph · LA +31° · 150 ft Godfrey Bendeck — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA +8° · 49 ft Marwan Zaki — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 109 ft Nomenjanahary Raharison — line_out · EV 81 mph · LA +19° · 163 ft Mohammed Getahun — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft Ivane Kalou — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Marwan Zaki — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 154 ft Elsadig Ensino — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -8° · 77 ft Ivane Kalou — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +30° · 291 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Quezon City Baseball Club
11% deserve-to-win  ·  3.2 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +1.8 vs expected
contact: 6.9 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (+1.1 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 2 CS (-1.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tapelo Maphumulo 94 / +10° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.13
Khaled Metwally 92 / +35° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Abdelkader Bouazizi 80 / -16° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
Edmilson Correia 87 / +11° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.62
Eddie Gouet 76 / +18° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Istanbul Police
89% deserve-to-win  ·  9.2 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  -0.2 vs expected
contact: 10.5 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (+1.5 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ivane Kalou 92 / +30° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.80
Nomenjanahary Raharison 81 / +19° Oppo Out 0.7 → 0 -0.72
Ivane Kalou 76 / -9° Oppo Stay 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Nomenjanahary Raharison 96 / +23° Pull Double 1.3 → 2 +0.69
Marwan Zaki 76 / +21° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
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