==============================================================================
Ussuri Police 23, Graz Broncos 22                            2046-04-17 · #766
at Spite Coliseum
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
Graz                   22   22   17    0
Ussuri                 23   23   15    0

GRAZ BRONCOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Schiffman   ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Javed   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Abebe       1b ......    5   3   3   2   0   1   5   0   1   0   0  0.600
Kebede      3b ......    3   4   2   0   0   0   1   2   1   0   0  0.667
Gueye       lf ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   3   0   2   0   0  0.500
Covilhã     c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Jones   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Naidji  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Pandey  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Webó    ph ......    4   3   3   1   0   1   5   0   1   0   0  0.750
  f-Ndlovu  ss ......    4   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.250
  g-Cookov  2b ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
  h-Hakimi  ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  i-Nel     pr ......    1   3   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Collins     j  ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Bothma      j  ......    3   1   1   0   1   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.333
Mazarura    j  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  42  22  17   6   1   2  22   5  12   0   0  0.405
  2B: Abebe 2 (8), Gueye (5), Collins (9), Mazarura (4), Webó (6).
  3B: Bothma (1).
  HR: Abebe (2), off Enterlinin; Webó (3), off Kamenskaya.
  SB: Nel (2).
  CS: Javed (2).
  a-Ran for Schiffman in the 1st.
  b-Grounded out for Mazarura in the 2nd.
  c-Batted in the 3rd.
  d-Struck out in the 3rd.
  e-Batted in the 4th.
  f-Replaced Javed at SS in the 4th.
  g-Replaced Collins at 2B in the 4th.
  h-Batted for Pandey in the 5th.
  i-Ran for Naidji in the 5th.

USSURI POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Coates      ss ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Anshba      cf ......    2   2   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Millender   lf ......    1   2   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Marfutina   2b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Ishikawa    1b ......    2   2   2   2   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Baxter  ph ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   4   0   0   0   0  1.000
Chinchilla  3b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
  b-Fridzon pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Garay       rf ......    2   3   2   1   1   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
Skorupski   p  ......    2   4   2   0   0   1   3   1   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Blinkov c  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Yahya       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Danilina    j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Huerta      j  ......    1   3   1   0   0   1   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  22  23  15   8   1   3  21   5   4   0   0  0.682
  2B: Blinkova (2), Coates (9), Anshba (9), Millender (1), Ishikawa 2 (5), Garay (1), Danilina (5).
  3B: Garay (1).
  HR: Skorupski (1), off Sherif; Huerta (1), off Mahrez; Baxter (2), off Amrani.
  SB: Garay (1).
  HBP: Millender (1).
  a-Homered for Ishikawa in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Chinchilla in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at C in the 7th.

GRAZ BRONCOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bassogog ............     9    4  15%    5    4    4    0    3    0   29    -
Mahrez ..............     4    0   0%    3    5    4    1    0    1   16  1-1
Zinyemba (L, 0-1) ...     6    1   4%    3    5    5    1    0    0   21  1-1
Sherif ..............     4    1   4%    3    4    4    0    0    1    9  1-1
Amrani ..............     5    1   4%    1    5    4    3    1    1   26  1-1

USSURI POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Skorupski ...........    12    9  33%    4    2    2    0    5    0   47    -
Enterlinin ..........     5    2   7%    2    4    3    1    1    1   12  1-1
Kamenskaya ..........     9    5  19%    3    5    5    1    1    1   37  1-1
DeMelo ..............    11    5  19%    6    6    6    1    2    0   46  1-1
Marfutina (W) .......    10    5  19%    2    5    5    2    3    0   39  1-1
Bogdanov ............     1    1   4%    0    0    0    0    1    0    4  1-0

  Batting order: Ussuri Police (home) batted second; Graz Broncos batted first.
  First pitch 7:10 PM YAKT. Weather: 55°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Humid. seed 684027.
  Walk-Back runs: off Mahrez 1, off Amrani 1, off Enterlinin 1.
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 5 Wellington Mazarura Shimeket Kebede (1B) 1–0
T 9 Hugo Webó Wellington Mazarura (2B) 2–0
T 10 Bezabeh Abebe Hugo Webó (3B) 3–0
T 10 Bezabeh Abebe Bezabeh Abebe (HR) 4–0
T 11 Garang Collins Bezabeh Abebe (3B) 5–0
T 11 Garang Collins Shimeket Kebede (1B) 6–0
T 11 Toddrick Cookov Garang Collins (2B) 7–0
T 15 Hugo Webó Toddrick Cookov (3B) 8–0
T 15 Hugo Webó Bjorn Nel (2B) 9–0
T 15 Hugo Webó Hugo Webó (HR) 10–0
T 16 Bezabeh Abebe Phathisa Ndlovu (1B) 11–0
T 16 Chimezie Gueye Bezabeh Abebe (2B) 12–0
T 18 Bjorn Nel Shimeket Kebede (2B) 13–0
T 20 Hugo Webó Bjorn Nel (3B) 14–0
T 21 Shimeket Kebede Hugo Webó (2B) 15–0
T 21 Chimezie Gueye Phathisa Ndlovu (2B) 16–0
T 21 Chimezie Gueye Shimeket Kebede (1B) 17–0
T 21 Toddrick Cookov Chimezie Gueye (2B) 18–0
T 22 Peter Bothma Toddrick Cookov (2B) 19–0
T 22 Peter Bothma Garang Collins (1B) 20–0
T 26 Bezabeh Abebe Peter Bothma (3B) 21–0
T 26 Bezabeh Abebe Bjorn Nel (2B) 22–0
B 1 Evgueni Anshba Vadim Blinkova (2B) 22–1
B 1 Oscar Millender Evgueni Anshba (1B) 22–2
B 2 Kenta Ishikawa Oscar Millender (2B) 22–3
B 4 Alexis Garay Kenta Ishikawa (2B) 22–4
B 4 Dmitry Danilina Alexis Garay (3B) 22–5
B 4 Gerry Huerta Dmitry Danilina (2B) 22–6
B 4 Gerry Huerta Gerry Huerta (HR) 22–7
B 4 Lennox Coates Gerry Huerta (3B) 22–8
B 4 Lennox Coates Grzegorz Skorupski (1B) 22–9
B 5 Evgueni Anshba Lennox Coates (2B) 22–10
B 5 Kenta Ishikawa Evgueni Anshba (3B) 22–11
B 5 Kenta Ishikawa Oscar Millender (3B) 22–12
B 5 Kenta Ishikawa Alan Marfutina (2B) 22–13
B 5 Pedro Chinchilla Kenta Ishikawa (2B) 22–14
B 5 Alexis Garay Pedro Chinchilla (1B) 22–15
B 5 Grzegorz Skorupski Alexis Garay (3B) 22–16
B 6 Grzegorz Skorupski Grzegorz Skorupski (1B) 22–17
B 6 Grzegorz Skorupski Grzegorz Skorupski (—) 22–18
B 7 Alexis Garay Grzegorz Skorupski (3B) 22–19
B 7 Kareem Baxter Gerry Huerta (3B) 22–20
B 7 Kareem Baxter Alexis Garay (2B) 22–21
B 7 Kareem Baxter Mário Fridzon (1B) 22–22
B 7 Kareem Baxter Kareem Baxter (HR) 22–23
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Spite Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 376' · CF 415' · RF 370' · 6' wall). Oval — Cricket-Ground Revival.
Lincoln Statue
Graz Broncos — Batted Balls
25 BIP· 8 1B · 7 XBH · 2 HR
376' 415' 370' Mitty Schiffman — single · EV 84 mph · LA +7° · 80 ft Shimeket Kebede — single · EV 100 mph · LA +2° · 95 ft Wellington Mazarura — double · EV 111 mph · LA +14° · 231 ft Hugo Webó — double · EV 114 mph · LA +12° · 220 ft Phathisa Ndlovu — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 207 ft Toddrick Cookov — single · EV 109 mph · LA +8° · 103 ft Sofiane Hakimi — fly_out · EV 109 mph · LA +27° · 380 ft Bjorn Nel — single · EV 98 mph · LA -5° · 93 ft Bezabeh Abebe — hr · EV 108 mph · LA +47° · 464 ft Garang Collins — double · EV 118 mph · LA +25° · 424 ft Wellington Mazarura — ground_out · EV 107 mph · LA +6° · 102 ft Hugo Webó — hr · EV 117 mph · LA +26° · 431 ft Phathisa Ndlovu — fielders_choice · EV 88 mph · LA +8° · 84 ft Nelson Covilhã — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +17° · 169 ft Shimeket Kebede — single · EV 100 mph · LA +24° · 302 ft Bezabeh Abebe — double · EV 98 mph · LA +40° · 380 ft Chimezie Gueye — single · EV 86 mph · LA +22° · 203 ft Hugo Webó — single · EV 88 mph · LA +16° · 163 ft Phathisa Ndlovu — single · EV 109 mph · LA -3° · 103 ft Toddrick Cookov — error · EV 94 mph · LA -7° · 89 ft Nelson Covilhã — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +5° · 82 ft Peter Bothma — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 184 ft Chimezie Gueye — double · EV 88 mph · LA +34° · 289 ft Phathisa Ndlovu — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 178 ft Bezabeh Abebe — double · EV 119 mph · LA +20° · 369 ft
Ussuri Police — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 3 1B · 9 XBH · 3 HR
376' 415' 370' Vadim Blinkova — double · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 204 ft Evgueni Anshba — single · EV 100 mph · LA +9° · 122 ft Oscar Millender — double · EV 100 mph · LA +41° · 397 ft Kenta Ishikawa — double · EV 98 mph · LA +48° · 379 ft Benjamin Yahya — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +54° · 226 ft Alexis Garay — triple · EV 110 mph · LA +22° · 331 ft Dmitry Danilina — double · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 262 ft Gerry Huerta — hr · EV 113 mph · LA +39° · 480 ft Grzegorz Skorupski — single · EV 100 mph · LA -18° · 95 ft Kareem Baxter — hr · EV 112 mph · LA +35° · 470 ft Lennox Coates — double · EV 100 mph · LA +23° · 289 ft Vadim Blinkova — fly_out · EV 91 mph · LA +31° · 296 ft Evgueni Anshba — double · EV 100 mph · LA +34° · 371 ft Kenta Ishikawa — double · EV 100 mph · LA +42° · 398 ft Pedro Chinchilla — single · EV 81 mph · LA +4° · 77 ft Alexis Garay — double · EV 100 mph · LA +39° · 390 ft Benjamin Yahya — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +8° · 95 ft Grzegorz Skorupski — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +36° · 480 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Graz Broncos
47% deserve-to-win  ·  16.5 expected runs
actual 22 runs  ·  +5.5 vs expected
contact: 31.7 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 31.0 (-0.7 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Sofiane Hakimi 109 / +27° Pull Out 2.4 → 0 -2.37
Peter Bothma 100 / +14° Pull Triple 1.2 → 3 +1.76
Phathisa Ndlovu 100 / +16° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.24
Phathisa Ndlovu 100 / +13° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.24
Hugo Webó 117 / +26° Center Home Run 3.0 → 4 +1.03
Ussuri Police
53% deserve-to-win  ·  17.5 expected runs
actual 23 runs  ·  +5.5 vs expected
contact: 31.7 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 34.0 (+2.3 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Alexis Garay 110 / +22° Pull Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.32
Vadim Blinkova 91 / +31° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.80
Vadim Blinkova 100 / +15° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.76
Pedro Chinchilla 81 / +4° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.60
Benjamin Yahya 100 / +8° Oppo Out 0.6 → 0 -0.59
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →