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Matanzas Tornados 21, Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths 6       2046-04-17 · #757
at The Funnel
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                        1    R    H    E
Matanzas               21   21   24    0
Cienfuegos              6    6   11    0

MATANZAS TORNADOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
García      1b ......    5   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.200
Arce        3b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Liriano     2b ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Werner      lf ......    4   2   3   2   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.750
Núñez       rf ......    2   3   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.500
Mthembu     cf ......    4   3   3   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.750
Huertas     ss ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.333
Adames      p  ......    4   2   3   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.750
  a-Suero   ph ......    4   2   3   1   0   1   4   0   1   1   0  0.750
Mendes      j  ......    3   2   3   1   0   0   1   1   0   1   0  1.000
Paniagua    j  ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Park        j  ......    3   1   3   1   1   0   4   0   0   1   0  1.000
Totals                  42  21  24   8   1   2  19   5   6   3   0  0.571
  2B: Werner 2 (6), Mthembu (5), Suero (13), Huertas (1), Adames (2), Mendes (5), Park (7).
  3B: Park (1).
  HR: García (4), off Machado; Suero (2), off Peña.
  SB: Paniagua (3).
  CS: Werner (2).
  a-Batted in the 2nd.

CIENFUEGOS NORTHERN GOLDSMITHS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Firmino     2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Difo        cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Carusa      rf ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   3   1   0   0   0  1.000
Rosas       ss ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
  a-Arce    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Yamamoto-Si lf ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Encarnación c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Flores  ph ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Soto        1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Villanueva  p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Coronad ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Féliz   cf ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
  e-Severin pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  f-Pérez   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Rodríguez   j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Anderson    j  ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   1   0   1   1   0  0.667
Valencia    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  30   6  11   4   0   0   6   4   5   1   0  0.367
  2B: Carusa (4), Rodríguez (7), Anderson (5), Yamamoto-Silva (6).
  SB: Encarnación (3), Arce (5).
  CS: Rodríguez (4).
  a-Ran for Rosas in the 9th.
  b-Walked for Encarnación in the 9th.
  c-Singled for Villanueva in the 8th.
  d-Entered at CF in the 9th.
  e-Ran for Coronado in the 8th.
  f-Ran for Féliz in the 9th.

MATANZAS TORNADOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Adames (W, 3-0) .....    20   17  63%    5    1    1    2    4    0   83    -
Delgado .............     9    7  26%    5    2    2    1    1    0   25  2-0
Yotún ...............     5    3  11%    1    3    3    1    0    0   18  2-0

CIENFUEGOS NORTHERN GOLDSMITHS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Villanueva ..........     8    4  15%    2    2    2    1    2    0   30    -
Machado .............     5    2   7%    4    5    5    1    0    1   23  2-2
Coronado ............     7    4  15%    5    3    3    1    0    0   18  1-0
Venegas (L, 0-1) ....     8    2   7%    5    6    6    1    0    0   26  1-1
Peña ................    14   10  37%    5    5    5    1    5    1   58  1-1
Difo ................     6    5  19%    3    0    0    0    0    0   23  1-0

  Batting order: Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths (home) batted second; Matanzas Tornados batted first.
  First pitch 5:45 PM. Weather: 77°F · Wind out · Overcast. seed 691228.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 4 Bruno Huertas Orlando Liriano (3B) 1–0
T 4 Bruno Huertas Karl-Anthony Núñez (2B) 2–0
T 5 Ji-sung Park Kagisho Mthembu (3B) 3–0
T 5 Ji-sung Park Bruno Huertas (3B) 4–0
T 5 Ji-sung Park Luís Mendes (2B) 5–0
T 6 Welington García Andrés Adames (1B) 6–0
T 6 Welington García Welington García (HR) 7–0
T 10 Kagisho Mthembu Karl-Anthony Núñez (2B) 8–0
T 10 Vladimir Suero Luís Mendes (3B) 9–0
T 10 Vladimir Suero Kagisho Mthembu (3B) 10–0
T 11 Andrés Paniagua Vladimir Suero (3B) 11–0
T 11 Ji-sung Park Andrés Paniagua (1B) 12–0
T 11 Andrés Adames Ji-sung Park (3B) 13–0
T 12 Lisandro Werner Andrés Adames (3B) 14–0
T 12 Lisandro Werner Exequiel Arce (3B) 15–0
T 12 Lisandro Werner Orlando Liriano (3B) 16–0
T 12 Kagisho Mthembu Lisandro Werner (3B) 17–0
T 14 Luís Mendes Karl-Anthony Núñez (3B) 18–0
T 20 Lisandro Werner Kagisho Mthembu (3B) 19–0
T 22 Vladimir Suero Lisandro Werner (3B) 20–0
T 22 Vladimir Suero Vladimir Suero (HR) 21–0
B 12 Juan Rodríguez Ronan Carusa (2B) 21–1
B 22 Rory Anderson Fernando Severino (3B) 21–2
B 24 Domingo Féliz Juan Rodríguez (2B) 21–3
B 25 Ronan Carusa Welington Pérez (3B) 21–4
B 25 Ronan Carusa Carlos Arce (2B) 21–5
B 25 Ronan Carusa Daniel Flores (1B) 21–6
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Funnel's actual outfield dimensions (LF 346' · CF 418' · RF 348' · 11' wall). Balanced.
Ivy Wall
Matanzas Tornados — Batted Balls
36 BIP· 13 1B · 9 XBH · 2 HR
346' 418' 348' Welington García — ground_out · EV 114 mph · LA +8° · 108 ft Orlando Liriano — fielders_choice · EV 108 mph · LA +3° · 102 ft Kagisho Mthembu — single · EV 83 mph · LA +12° · 110 ft Vladimir Suero — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 153 ft Bruno Huertas — double · EV 104 mph · LA +21° · 287 ft Ji-sung Park — single · EV 83 mph · LA +20° · 173 ft Andrés Adames — single · EV 88 mph · LA +10° · 101 ft Luís Mendes — single · EV 88 mph · LA +5° · 84 ft Karl-Anthony Núñez — single · EV 86 mph · LA +20° · 192 ft Ji-sung Park — double · EV 92 mph · LA +50° · 334 ft Welington García — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +37° · 386 ft Exequiel Arce — line_out · EV 77 mph · LA +15° · 122 ft Orlando Liriano — fly_out · EV 89 mph · LA +38° · 308 ft Lisandro Werner — single · EV 72 mph · LA +13° · 93 ft Kagisho Mthembu — double · EV 105 mph · LA +13° · 191 ft Vladimir Suero — single · EV 74 mph · LA +13° · 94 ft Bruno Huertas — fly_out · EV 95 mph · LA +28° · 296 ft Andrés Paniagua — single · EV 78 mph · LA +16° · 125 ft Ji-sung Park — triple · EV 109 mph · LA +16° · 259 ft Andrés Adames — double · EV 91 mph · LA +50° · 323 ft Luís Mendes — single · EV 83 mph · LA +11° · 106 ft Vladimir Suero — double · EV 102 mph · LA +26° · 327 ft Luís Mendes — ground_out · EV 62 mph · LA +3° · 58 ft Welington García — line_out · EV 96 mph · LA +21° · 245 ft Orlando Liriano — single · EV 82 mph · LA +10° · 97 ft Lisandro Werner — double · EV 94 mph · LA +16° · 182 ft Kagisho Mthembu — single · EV 87 mph · LA +11° · 113 ft Andrés Paniagua — line_out · EV 93 mph · LA +21° · 230 ft Bruno Huertas — fly_out · EV 96 mph · LA +50° · 359 ft Ji-sung Park — ground_out · EV 104 mph · LA +9° · 134 ft Luís Mendes — double · EV 102 mph · LA +18° · 246 ft Welington García — line_out · EV 63 mph · LA +19° · 99 ft Lisandro Werner — double · EV 101 mph · LA +16° · 221 ft Vladimir Suero — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +41° · 397 ft Andrés Paniagua — single · EV 88 mph · LA -14° · 83 ft Andrés Adames — single · EV 80 mph · LA +20° · 168 ft
Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths — Batted Balls
22 BIP· 7 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
346' 418' 348' Kenji Yamamoto-Silva — double · EV 109 mph · LA +20° · 310 ft Juan Rodríguez — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA +2° · 65 ft Moisés Valencia — fielders_choice · EV 71 mph · LA -2° · 68 ft Domingo Féliz — single · EV 89 mph · LA -9° · 84 ft Jean Difo — fly_out · EV 107 mph · LA +51° · 447 ft Wandy Soto — line_out · EV 85 mph · LA +23° · 205 ft Fabrizio Villanueva — line_out · EV 95 mph · LA +14° · 175 ft Ronan Carusa — single · EV 79 mph · LA +3° · 75 ft James Coronado — single · EV 79 mph · LA -2° · 75 ft Kenji Yamamoto-Silva — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA +9° · 67 ft Juan Rodríguez — double · EV 100 mph · LA +22° · 282 ft Rory Anderson — double · EV 95 mph · LA +27° · 294 ft Domingo Féliz — fielders_choice · EV 61 mph · LA -18° · 58 ft Otávio Firmino — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 101 ft Wandy Soto — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +38° · 228 ft Ronan Carusa — double · EV 110 mph · LA +18° · 287 ft Kenji Yamamoto-Silva — single · EV 100 mph · LA +4° · 95 ft Rory Anderson — single · EV 87 mph · LA +13° · 130 ft Domingo Féliz — single · EV 80 mph · LA +14° · 122 ft Cesar Rosas — single · EV 85 mph · LA +2° · 81 ft Otávio Firmino — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 176 ft Rory Anderson — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA -2° · 85 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Matanzas Tornados
84% deserve-to-win  ·  19.8 expected runs
actual 21 runs  ·  +1.2 vs expected
contact: 32.2 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 40.0 (+7.8 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Welington García 100 / +37° Center Home Run 2.0 → 4 +1.98
Ji-sung Park 92 / +50° Pull Double 0.4 → 2 +1.56
Andrés Adames 91 / +50° Center Double 0.4 → 2 +1.56
Vladimir Suero 100 / +41° Center Home Run 2.5 → 4 +1.51
Ji-sung Park 104 / +9° Pull Out 1.4 → 0 -1.41
Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths
16% deserve-to-win  ·  8.7 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -2.7 vs expected
contact: 15.2 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 15.0 (-0.2 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jean Difo 107 / +51° Oppo Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Rory Anderson 95 / +27° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.20
Fabrizio Villanueva 95 / +14° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Otávio Firmino 92 / +16° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.87
Wandy Soto 85 / +23° Oppo Out 0.7 → 0 -0.72
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