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Bonn Outfitters 9, Regensburg Samurai 7                     2046-05-03 · #1496
at Rowaiye Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Bonn                    9    9    7    0
Regensburg              7    7    8    1

BONN OUTFITTERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Salo        lf ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.667
Alho        c  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Ahonen  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Honka       2b ......    2   0   1   0   1   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Frias       1b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Ginter      rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.500
Mäkelä      p  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Tammine pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  c-Csipkay 3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Raum    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Rautio  c  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Kroos   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Heikkil ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
  h-Hegerin pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  i-Kneževi pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  j-Daniels ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kantonen    j  ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   3   0   0  0.250
Fisk        j  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  27   9   7   2   1   0   9   8   9   0   1  0.259
  2B: Kantonen (5), Salo (7).
  3B: Honka (1).
  SB: Mäkelä (1).
  CS: Ahonen (4).
  Squeeze: Ginter (1 RBI).
  a-Ran for Alho in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Kroos in the 8th.
  c-Entered at 3B in the 5th.
  d-Entered at SS in the 6th.
  e-Entered at C in the 7th.
  f-Batted for Raum in the 5th.
  g-Walked in the 7th.
  h-Ran for Rautio in the 7th.
  i-Ran for Heikkilä in the 7th.
  j-Struck out in the 8th.

REGENSBURG SAMURAI
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Tuovi       ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Bhatia  ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Rödl        3b ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Mulaome pr ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Garcia      1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Valakari    2b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Marei       rf ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Väisänen    c  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Akpınar pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Salin   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Raitala pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Halttun ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  g-Järvine pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Ukić    ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Magbegor    j  ......    3   2   1   0   0   1   4   0   0   0   0  0.333
Kauppinen   j  ......    3   0   3   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Seppälä     j  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Totals                  29   7   8   3   0   1   7   5  12   0   0  0.276
  2B: Rödl (3), Kauppinen (6), Seppälä (4).
  HR: Magbegor (5), off Wilke.
  SB: Mulaomerović (3), Marei (4).
  CS: Kauppinen (1), Järvinen 2 (2).
  E: Raitala (5).
  HBP: Marei 2 (2).
  a-Replaced Tuovi at SS in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Rödl in the 1st.
  c-Ran for Väisänen in the 2nd.
  d-Grounded out in the 1st.
  e-Ran for Salin in the 1st.
  f-Batted in the 2nd.
  g-Ran in the 2nd.
  h-Batted in the 2nd.

BONN OUTFITTERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Mäkelä ..............     7    3  11%    4    2    2    0    1    0   16    -
Huth (W, 3-3) .......    17   15  56%    1    1    1    4    5    0   65  1-1
Wilke ...............     4    2   7%    3    4    3    0    1    1    9  2-2
Pakarinen ...........     8    7  26%    0    0    0    1    5    0   37  1-0

REGENSBURG SAMURAI PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Mattsson (L, 4-1) ...    24   20  74%    6    3    2    3    7    0  100    -
Marić ...............     4    1   4%    0    2    2    3    0    0    7  2-1
Rakitić .............     4    3  11%    0    2    2    2    1    0   13  3-2
Kinnunen ............     2    1   4%    1    2    2    0    1    0    8  3-2

  Batting order: Regensburg Samurai (home) batted first; Bonn Outfitters batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 58°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 218572.
  Powerplays: Bonn Outfitters — Tamminen NF (O24)
  Walk-Back runs: off Wilke 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 1 Martin Rödl Sauli Raitala (1B) 0–1
B 3 Tuukka Seppälä Ivan Mulaomerović (3B) 0–2
B 6 Jeff Magbegor Tuukka Seppälä (3B) 0–3
B 18 Jeff Magbegor Ivan Mulaomerović (3B) 0–4
B 18 Jeff Magbegor Tarek Marei (2B) 0–5
B 18 Jeff Magbegor Jeff Magbegor (HR) 0–6
B 18 Robert Kauppinen Jeff Magbegor (3B) 0–7
T 5 Kaarlo Honka Olavi Rautio (3B) 1–7
T 5 Kaarlo Honka Arttu Alho (2B) 2–7
T 20 Marcus Kantonen Matias Mäkelä (3B) 3–7
T 20 Onni Heikkilä Sidney Fisk (3B) 4–7
T 20 Yrjö Ahonen Bernd Hegering (2B) 5–7
T 22 Jack Frias Marcus Kantonen (3B) 6–7
T 22 Benedikt Ginter Emir Knežević (3B) 7–7
T 25 Joel Salo Yrjö Tamminen (3B) 8–7
T 25 Joel Salo Jack Frias (2B) 9–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Rowaiye Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 273' · CF 364' · RF 291' · 51' wall). The Bandbox.
Bonn Outfitters — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 4 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
273' 364' 291' Wall 51' Arttu Alho — single · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 205 ft Kaarlo Honka — triple · EV 96 mph · LA +22° · 262 ft Jack Frias — single · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 181 ft Joel Salo — single · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 196 ft Joachim Kroos — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +38° · 225 ft Yrjö Ahonen — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +5° · 87 ft Sidney Fisk — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +31° · 205 ft Gustave Csipkay — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +28° · 192 ft Arttu Alho — error · EV 79 mph · LA +4° · 75 ft Benedikt Ginter — single · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 88 ft Joel Salo — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 267 ft Sidney Fisk — error · EV 76 mph · LA -14° · 72 ft Marcus Kantonen — double · EV 92 mph · LA +23° · 244 ft Joel Salo — double · EV 91 mph · LA +24° · 242 ft
Regensburg Samurai — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 4 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
273' 364' 291' Wall 51' Glen Tuovi — single · EV 84 mph · LA +18° · 167 ft Leevi Salin — fielders_choice · EV 94 mph · LA -12° · 89 ft Martin Rödl — double · EV 95 mph · LA +11° · 139 ft Jeff Magbegor — fly_out · EV 109 mph · LA +23° · 348 ft Robert Kauppinen — infield_single · EV 70 mph · LA +16° · 104 ft Tuukka Seppälä — double · EV 103 mph · LA +22° · 299 ft Nikolai Halttunen — line_out · EV 94 mph · LA +16° · 184 ft Jeff Magbegor — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +29° · 263 ft Robert Kauppinen — single · EV 74 mph · LA +13° · 98 ft Germanpreet Bhatia — single · EV 87 mph · LA +2° · 83 ft Sauli Raitala — fly_out · EV 83 mph · LA +38° · 264 ft Jeff Magbegor — hr · EV 107 mph · LA +28° · 379 ft Robert Kauppinen — double · EV 107 mph · LA +21° · 299 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Bonn Outfitters
46% deserve-to-win  ·  6.1 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +2.9 vs expected
contact: 8.3 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (+2.7 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Kaarlo Honka 96 / +22° Pull Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.68
Marcus Kantonen 92 / +23° Oppo Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
Joel Salo 91 / +24° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
Jack Frias 76 / +26° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.79
Joel Salo 92 / +26° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Regensburg Samurai
54% deserve-to-win  ·  6.7 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +0.3 vs expected
contact: 12.0 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 14.0 (+2.0 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 3 CS (-1.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jeff Magbegor 107 / +28° Center Home Run 2.0 → 4 +1.97
Jeff Magbegor 109 / +23° Oppo Out 1.7 → 0 -1.69
Martin Rödl 95 / +11° Oppo Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Nikolai Halttunen 94 / +16° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Germanpreet Bhatia 87 / +2° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
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