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Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers 15, Marseille Club de Baseball 2  2046-04-29 · #1317
at Starc Stadium
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Marseille               2      0    2    6    0
Zaporizhzhia           15      0   15   13    0

MARSEILLE CLUB DE BASEBALL
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Yépez       rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Ashby       c  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Adix-Zins   p  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   3   1   0  0.333
Uberoi      1b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Chou        3b ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Parker      lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Olivera     cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Linárez     2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Pratt   c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Rojas       j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Nyhus       j  ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.250
Guerra      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   2   6   0   0   0   1   0   9   1   0  0.207
  CS: Nyhus (3).
  HBP: Rojas (1), Ashby 2 (5).
  GIDP: Nyhus (3).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

ZAPORIZHZHIA BOILERMAKERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Li          lf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.333
Peña        c  ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Meza        3b ......    4   1   2   0   1   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.500
Graysonov   1b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.333
Figueroa    cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
Smith       2b ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
Goodling    ss ......    1   3   1   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  1.000
Bartkowicz  rf ......    3   2   1   0   0   1   4   0   1   0   0  0.333
Talley      p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   1  0.000
Soeda       j  ......    4   1   1   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Belcher     j  ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.250
Cota        j  ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.667
Totals                  35  15  13   3   2   1  14   6  10   0   1  0.371
  2B: Belcher (5), Cota (6), Smith (1).
  3B: Soeda (1), Meza (1).
  HR: Bartkowicz (1), off Caballero.


MARSEILLE CLUB DE BASEBALL PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Adix-Zins ...........    11    7  26%    4    2    2    2    4    0   49    -
Hincapié ............     7    4  15%    2    4    4    1    1    0   27  1-1
Caballero (L, 2-1) ..    13    7  26%    4    6    5    2    2    1   48    -
Pérez ...............    11    9  33%    3    3    3    1    3    0   44  1-1

ZAPORIZHZHIA BOILERMAKERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Talley (W, 5-2) .....    30   27 100%    5    2    2    0    9    0  113    -

  Batting order: Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers (home) batted first; Marseille Club de Baseball batted second.
  Seconds: MCD o26 (2-15), ZB o26 (15-0).
  First pitch 4:05 PM. Weather: 57°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Humid. seed 27135.
  Walk-Back runs: off Caballero 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 5 Gerardo Cota Harry Meza (2B) 0–1
B 5 Jam Smith Gerardo Cota (2B) 0–2
B 6 Owen Goodling Jam Smith (2B) 0–3
B 6 Kareem Bartkowicz Owen Goodling (1B) 0–4
B 9 Yasufumi Soeda Tony Peña (1B) 0–5
B 9 Alex Belcher Yasufumi Soeda (3B) 0–6
B 14 Kareem Bartkowicz Jam Smith (2B) 0–7
B 14 Kareem Bartkowicz Owen Goodling (1B) 0–8
B 14 Kareem Bartkowicz Kareem Bartkowicz (HR) 0–9
B 17 Alex Belcher Kareem Bartkowicz (3B) 0–10
B 17 Alex Belcher Tony Peña (1B) 0–11
B 17 Gerardo Cota Alex Belcher (2B) 0–12
B 17 Harry Meza Gerardo Cota (2B) 0–13
B 23 Paul Li Owen Goodling (2B) 0–14
B 26 Harry Graysonov Paul Li (3B) 0–15
T 15 Yu-hsiang Chou Wilmer Ashby (3B) 1–15
T 18 Wilbur Guerra Ketel Rojas (3B) 2–15
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Starc Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 377' · CF 443' · RF 351' · 13' wall). Cavernous.
Death Valley
Marseille Club de Baseball — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 5 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
377' 443' 351' Yu-hsiang Chou — line_out · EV 99 mph · LA +23° · 285 ft Ramsey Parker — fly_out · EV 99 mph · LA +33° · 354 ft Derlis Olivera — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +44° · 242 ft Ketel Rojas — single · EV 82 mph · LA +11° · 100 ft Erick Nyhus — line_out · EV 93 mph · LA +22° · 242 ft Harold Adix-Zins — single · EV 80 mph · LA -19° · 76 ft Ferdi Uberoi — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA +3° · 55 ft Yu-hsiang Chou — single · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 116 ft Derlis Olivera — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 87 ft Wilbur Guerra — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +33° · 220 ft Nahuel Yépez — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -7° · 72 ft Ferdi Uberoi — single · EV 73 mph · LA -9° · 69 ft Yu-hsiang Chou — single · EV 119 mph · LA +9° · 183 ft Ramsey Parker — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -6° · 74 ft Erick Nyhus — double_play · EV 54 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft
Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers — Batted Balls
21 BIP· 7 1B · 5 XBH · 1 HR
377' 443' 351' Harry Meza — single · EV 94 mph · LA -3° · 89 ft Gerardo Cota — single · EV 100 mph · LA +6° · 95 ft Jam Smith — double · EV 114 mph · LA +17° · 293 ft Owen Goodling — single · EV 98 mph · LA +20° · 249 ft Kareem Bartkowicz — itp_out · EV 111 mph · LA +23° · 348 ft Harry Graysonov — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +23° · 290 ft Jeyland Figueroa — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +5° · 95 ft Paul Li — line_out · EV 95 mph · LA +25° · 273 ft Yasufumi Soeda — triple · EV 99 mph · LA +23° · 281 ft Gerardo Cota — ground_out · EV 119 mph · LA -1° · 113 ft Jam Smith — single · EV 114 mph · LA +23° · 373 ft Kareem Bartkowicz — hr · EV 117 mph · LA +44° · 480 ft Jeyland Figueroa — fly_out · EV 91 mph · LA +44° · 330 ft Tony Peña — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +15° · 151 ft Alex Belcher — double · EV 96 mph · LA +12° · 156 ft Gerardo Cota — double · EV 111 mph · LA +24° · 371 ft Harry Meza — triple · EV 117 mph · LA +17° · 309 ft Paul Li — single · EV 100 mph · LA +24° · 301 ft Harry Graysonov — single · EV 89 mph · LA +14° · 145 ft Jeyland Figueroa — single · EV 85 mph · LA +24° · 216 ft Yasufumi Soeda — ground_out · EV 96 mph · LA -19° · 91 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Marseille Club de Baseball
6% deserve-to-win  ·  4.1 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -2.1 vs expected
contact: 9.3 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-4.3 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ramsey Parker 99 / +33° Pull Out 1.6 → 0 -1.57
Yu-hsiang Chou 99 / +23° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Erick Nyhus 93 / +22° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.01
Harold Adix-Zins 80 / -19° Center Stay 0.2 → 1 +0.75
Ferdi Uberoi 73 / -9° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers
94% deserve-to-win  ·  16.0 expected runs
actual 15 runs  ·  -1.0 vs expected
contact: 26.7 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 23.0 (-3.7 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Kareem Bartkowicz 111 / +23° Oppo Itp_Out 1.7 → 0 -1.69
Yasufumi Soeda 99 / +23° Oppo Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.68
Harry Graysonov 100 / +23° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.54
Harry Meza 117 / +17° Pull Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.26
Jeyland Figueroa 91 / +44° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
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