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Matanzas Tornados 6, Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths 4       2046-04-29 · #1292
at Copper Grounds
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                        1    R    H    E
Cienfuegos              4    4    6    0
Matanzas                6    6    2    0

CIENFUEGOS NORTHERN GOLDSMITHS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Rosas       ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Severin pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Eledge      cf ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Fazio   cf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Carusa      lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Coronado    c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Zanetti c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Soto        1b ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Freitas     3b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Firmino 3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Difo        rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Difo    ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  f-Izidoro ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Ramos   cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Borges  rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Anderson    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Rodríguez   j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Valencia    j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  30   4   6   1   0   1   4   2  14   0   0  0.200
  2B: Soto (2).
  HR: Eledge (1), off Adames.
  GIDP: Carusa (2).
  a-Ran for Rosas in the 1st.
  b-Replaced Eledge at CF in the 5th.
  c-Replaced Coronado at C in the 6th.
  d-Replaced Freitas at 3B in the 7th.
  e-Batted in the 2nd.
  f-Batted in the 3rd.
  g-Replaced Valencia at CF in the 4th.
  h-Entered at RF in the 9th.

MATANZAS TORNADOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Machís      3b ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Liriano     c  ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Suero       lf ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Bareiro     rf ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   4   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Coelho  c  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                   2   6   2   0   0   2   6   3   0   0   0  1.000
  HR: Liriano (9), off Villanueva; Bareiro (3), off Lacasse.
  SB: Suero (8).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

CIENFUEGOS NORTHERN GOLDSMITHS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Villanueva ..........     4    0   0%    1    2    2    3    0    1   16    -
Lacasse (L, 0-2) ....     1    0   0%    1    4    3    0    0    1    3  3-3

MATANZAS TORNADOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Adames (W, 5-0) .....    28   24  89%    5    4    3    2   12    1  105    -
Feliz ...............     4    3  11%    1    0    0    0    2    0   15  1-0

  Batting order: Matanzas Tornados (home) batted second; Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths batted first.
  First pitch 2:00 PM. Weather: 65°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 435154.
  Walk-Back runs: off Lacasse 1, off Adames 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 1 Steve Eledge Fernando Severino (1B) 1–0
T 1 Steve Eledge Steve Eledge (HR) 2–0
T 3 Wandy Soto Steve Eledge (3B) 3–0
T 6 Caio Freitas Wandy Soto (2B) 4–0
B 0 James Liriano Vladimir Suero (2B) 4–1
B 0 James Liriano James Liriano (HR) 4–2
B 0 Cesar Bareiro James Liriano (3B) 4–3
B 0 Cesar Bareiro Rodrigo Coelho (2B) 4–4
B 0 Cesar Bareiro Cristhian Machís (1B) 4–5
B 0 Cesar Bareiro Cesar Bareiro (HR) 4–6
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Copper Grounds's actual outfield dimensions (LF 347' · CF 416' · RF 336' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Flag Pole in Play Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 4 1B · 1 XBH · 1 HR
347' 416' 336' Steve Eledge — hr · EV 96 mph · LA +48° · 368 ft James Coronado — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -8° · 73 ft Wandy Soto — double · EV 94 mph · LA +41° · 349 ft Caio Freitas — single · EV 80 mph · LA -19° · 76 ft Moisés Valencia — ground_out · EV 71 mph · LA +3° · 67 ft Sérgio Borges — single · EV 83 mph · LA -21° · 78 ft Juan Rodríguez — single · EV 70 mph · LA +17° · 110 ft Ronan Carusa — double_play · EV 64 mph · LA +7° · 61 ft Edwin Difo — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA +6° · 75 ft Luís Izidoro — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -14° · 72 ft Marco Fazio — single · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 76 ft Rory Anderson — ground_out · EV 73 mph · LA +5° · 70 ft Wandy Soto — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 149 ft
Matanzas Tornados — Batted Balls
2 BIP· 0 1B · 0 XBH · 2 HR
347' 416' 336' James Liriano — hr · EV 108 mph · LA +37° · 448 ft Cesar Bareiro — hr · EV 117 mph · LA +38° · 480 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths
18% deserve-to-win  ·  2.4 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +1.6 vs expected
contact: 6.1 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (+3.9 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Steve Eledge 96 / +48° Oppo Home Run 0.8 → 4 +3.22
Wandy Soto 92 / +13° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Wandy Soto 94 / +41° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.78
Caio Freitas 80 / -19° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Sérgio Borges 83 / -21° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.65
Matanzas Tornados
82% deserve-to-win  ·  5.1 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +0.9 vs expected
contact: 7.3 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (+0.7 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
James Liriano 108 / +37° Pull Home Run 3.5 → 4 +0.51
Cesar Bareiro 117 / +38° Oppo Home Run 3.8 → 4 +0.17
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