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Istanbul Police 9, Manpo Yagu Club 7                        2046-04-28 · #1266
at Pillai Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Istanbul                9    9    5    0
Manpo                   7    7    6    0

ISTANBUL POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Raharison   c  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Troost-Ekon 2b ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Raharison   3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Zaki        lf ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Boudiaf     ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Sima        rf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Bendeck     1b ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Wallace cf ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Onumonu     j  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Getahun     j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Mhlawuli    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                   8   9   5   2   0   2   7   3   1   0   0  0.625
  2B: Raharison (2), Onumonu (4).
  HR: Zaki (3), off Booth; Bendeck (2), off Sinisterra.
  a-Entered at CF in the 7th.

MANPO YAGU CLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Jilcha      lf ......    2   2   1   0   0   1   3   1   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Sherif  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Merga       c  ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.333
Murenga     cf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Engelbr pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Sambissa    3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Demehin pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Taarabt     rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Atal        1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Nkosi       ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Dias    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Booth       p  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Ouali   ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Bedrane ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Shumba  c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  h-Benali  2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  i-Kock    ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Dida        j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Cunha       j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Kramer      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   7   6   2   0   1   5   6   8   0   0  0.207
  2B: Merga (10), Murenga (5).
  HR: Jilcha (5), off Straton.
  SB: Bedrane (6).
  CS: Cunha (4).
  GIDP: Atal (1), Nkosi (1).
  a-Ran for Jilcha in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Murenga in the 1st.
  c-Ran for Sambissa in the 2nd.
  d-Ran for Nkosi in the 6th.
  e-Singled for Booth in the 9th.
  f-Batted in the 2nd.
  g-Replaced Dias at C in the 7th.
  h-Replaced Bedrane at 2B in the 7th.
  i-Grounded out for Sherif in the 9th.

ISTANBUL POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Straton (W, 4-0) ....    20   15  56%    3    5    5    4    4    1   52    -
Razafy ..............    15   12  44%    3    2    2    2    4    0   48  1-0

MANPO YAGU CLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Booth ...............     5    1   4%    3    4    3    1    0    1   25    -
Sinisterra (L, 1-1) .     6    2   7%    2    5    5    2    1    1   19  1-1

  Batting order: Manpo Yagu Club (home) batted first; Istanbul Police batted second.
  First pitch 1:10 PM. Weather: 77°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 438639.
  Walk-Back runs: off Straton 1, off Booth 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 1 Senou Sambissa Abel Merga (3B) 0–1
B 6 Bikila Jilcha Faf Engelbrecht (3B) 0–2
B 6 Bikila Jilcha Jan-Michael Booth (1B) 0–3
B 6 Bikila Jilcha Bikila Jilcha (HR) 0–4
B 14 Musawenkosi Nkosi Bikila Jilcha (3B) 0–5
B 16 Abel Merga Chidi Dias (2B) 0–6
B 21 Youssef Taarabt Abel Merga (3B) 0–7
T 0 Marwan Zaki Marwan Zaki (HR) 1–7
T 0 Oussama Boudiaf Marwan Zaki (3B) 2–7
T 1 Feno Raharison Jesse Wallace (2B) 3–7
T 1 Feno Raharison Elisha Sima (1B) 4–7
T 1 Stephane Onumonu Feno Raharison (2B) 5–7
T 2 Nomenjanahary Raharison Stephane Onumonu (3B) 6–7
T 3 Godfrey Bendeck Mohammed Getahun (3B) 7–7
T 3 Godfrey Bendeck Jean-Charles Troost-Ekong (2B) 8–7
T 3 Godfrey Bendeck Godfrey Bendeck (HR) 9–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Pillai Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 424' · CF 415' · RF 276' · 11' wall). The Wedge.
The Ramp
Istanbul Police — Batted Balls
6 BIP· 1 1B · 2 XBH · 2 HR
424' 415' 276' Marwan Zaki — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +44° · 480 ft Elisha Sima — single · EV 100 mph · LA +9° · 123 ft Feno Raharison — double · EV 115 mph · LA +15° · 264 ft Stephane Onumonu — double · EV 92 mph · LA +21° · 226 ft Mothobi Mhlawuli — fly_out · EV 90 mph · LA +30° · 282 ft Godfrey Bendeck — hr · EV 99 mph · LA +40° · 383 ft
Manpo Yagu Club — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
424' 415' 276' Tonderai Murenga — double · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 136 ft Senou Sambissa — error · EV 57 mph · LA +14° · 60 ft Youssef Taarabt — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +42° · 265 ft Musawenkosi Nkosi — double_play · EV 59 mph · LA -18° · 56 ft Abel Merga — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 197 ft Fernandy Cunha — single · EV 80 mph · LA +6° · 76 ft Simão Kramer — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +17° · 137 ft Faf Engelbrecht — line_out · EV 61 mph · LA +22° · 102 ft Neil Shumba — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +33° · 212 ft Mohamed Ouali — single · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 210 ft Quinton de Kock — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 81 ft Bikila Jilcha — hr · EV 99 mph · LA +34° · 363 ft Aymen Atal — double_play · EV 70 mph · LA +7° · 67 ft Musawenkosi Nkosi — fielders_choice · EV 62 mph · LA -5° · 59 ft Abel Merga — double · EV 84 mph · LA +47° · 281 ft Fernandy Cunha — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +33° · 241 ft Simão Kramer — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 134 ft Youssef Taarabt — single · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 176 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Istanbul Police
49% deserve-to-win  ·  6.6 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +2.4 vs expected
contact: 9.8 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (+3.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Godfrey Bendeck 99 / +40° Center Home Run 1.6 → 4 +2.44
Stephane Onumonu 92 / +21° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
Mothobi Mhlawuli 90 / +30° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Feno Raharison 115 / +15° Center Double 1.5 → 2 +0.47
Marwan Zaki 119 / +44° Oppo Home Run 3.8 → 4 +0.24
Manpo Yagu Club
51% deserve-to-win  ·  6.7 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +0.3 vs expected
contact: 10.7 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (+0.3 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Bikila Jilcha 99 / +34° Oppo Home Run 1.6 → 4 +2.44
Abel Merga 84 / +47° Oppo Double 0.6 → 2 +1.36
Tonderai Murenga 92 / +12° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Abel Merga 92 / +18° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.01
Fernandy Cunha 80 / +6° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
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