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Verkhnegrad Imperials 28, Graz Broncos 11                   2046-04-25 · #1131
at Edwards Field
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Verkhnegrad            28      -   28   18    1
Graz                   11      0   11   12    0

VERKHNEGRAD IMPERIALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fomina-Klot ss ......    4   4   2   0   0   2   5   0   1   0   0  0.500
Trubin      cf ......    2   3   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  0.500
Chernov     rf ......    5   3   4   3   0   1   5   0   0   1   0  0.800
Medvedev    lf ......    1   3   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0   0  0.000
Granat      3b ......    4   2   1   0   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  0.250
Kambolov    2b ......    4   2   2   1   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.500
Iakovlev    1b ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.333
Barinov     p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2  0.000
  a-Zabolot c  ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   2   0   0  0.000
Tsybysheva  j  ......    2   4   2   1   0   1   4   1   0   0   0  1.000
Fokina      j  ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.667
Savinykh    j  ......    4   2   3   0   1   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.750
Totals                  36  28  18   7   1   5  28   9   6   1   2  0.500
  2B: Tsybysheva (17), Fokina (7), Trubin (12), Chernov 3 (13), Kambolov (4).
  3B: Savinykh (1).
  HR: Tsybysheva (5), off Boganowski; Fomina-Klotz 2 (3), off Bassogog, Ryang; Chernov (5), off Partey; Granat (3), off Genovese.
  SB: Savinykh (5).
  E: Fokina (3).
  HBP: Tsybysheva (1), Fokina (1).
  GIDP: Chernov (2).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

GRAZ BRONCOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Schiffman   ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Javed   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Gueye       lf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Abebe   pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Iyer        cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ndour       rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Boganowski  p  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Covilhã ph ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  d-Webó    ph ......    3   2   2   0   0   1   4   0   0   0   0  0.667
  e-Naidji  ph ......    2   2   2   0   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Pandey  ph ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
  g-Hakimi  ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  h-Jadhav  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  i-Engelbr pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  j-Stalder rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Collins     j  ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Bothma      j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0  0.500
Mazarura    j  ......    3   2   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  34  11  12   1   0   2   9   3   7   1   0  0.353
  2B: Pandey (4).
  HR: Webó (5), off Brown-Murray; Naidji (5), off Barinov.
  SB: Javed (1).
  CS: Pandey (2).
  a-Ran for Schiffman in the 1st.
  b-Ran for Gueye in the 2nd.
  c-Batted in the 1st.
  d-Batted in the 2nd.
  e-Batted for Mazarura in the 2nd.
  f-Batted in the 2nd.
  g-Singled for Mazarura in the 4th.
  h-Ran in the 4th.
  i-Ran for Naidji in the 5th.
  j-Replaced Jadhav at RF in the 4th.

VERKHNEGRAD IMPERIALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Barinov (W, 2-1) ....    24   15  56%    8    7    7    3    6    1   95    -
Brown-Murray ........    13   12  44%    4    4    3    0    1    1   52  2-0

GRAZ BRONCOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Boganowski ..........     8    4  15%    3    4    4    2    1    1   32    -
Genovese ............     7    5  19%    2    4    3    1    1    1   31  1-1
Cabral ..............     4    1   4%    3    3    2    0    1    0   13  1-1
Partey ..............     4    2   7%    3    4    4    1    0    1   14  1-1
Bassogog (L, 0-1) ...     7    2   7%    1    6    5    3    0    1   24  1-1
Sherif ..............     6    2   7%    4    5    4    1    0    0   21  1-1
Ryang ...............    10   10  37%    2    2    1    1    3    1   41  1-0

  Batting order: Graz Broncos (home) batted first; Verkhnegrad Imperials batted second.
  Seconds: VI o26 (28-11), GB o25 (11-0).
  First pitch 5:45 PM. Weather: 44°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 337187.
  Walk-Back runs: off Barinov 1, off Brown-Murray 1, off Genovese 1, off Cabral 1, off Bassogog 1, off Sherif 1, off Ryang 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 5 Sofiane Naidji Bezabeh Abebe (2B) 0–1
B 5 Sofiane Naidji Wellington Mazarura (1B) 0–2
B 5 Sofiane Naidji Sofiane Naidji (HR) 0–3
B 9 Wellington Mazarura Sofiane Naidji (3B) 0–4
B 11 Hugo Webó Garang Collins (3B) 0–5
B 11 Hugo Webó Wellington Mazarura (3B) 0–6
B 12 Udanta Pandey Pradip Jadhav (3B) 0–7
B 21 Hugo Webó Kevon Boganowski (3B) 0–8
B 21 Hugo Webó Nelson Covilhã (1B) 0–9
B 21 Hugo Webó Hugo Webó (HR) 0–10
B 23 Udanta Pandey Hugo Webó (3B) 0–11
T 2 Konstantin Kambolov Daniil Medvedev (3B) 1–11
T 2 Konstantin Kambolov Heorhiy Trubin (2B) 2–11
T 4 Marat Tsybysheva Konstantin Kambolov (1B) 3–11
T 4 Marat Tsybysheva Marat Tsybysheva (HR) 4–11
T 4 Lev Fokina Marat Tsybysheva (3B) 5–11
T 9 Richard Granat Daniil Medvedev (2B) 6–11
T 9 Richard Granat Heorhiy Trubin (1B) 7–11
T 9 Richard Granat Richard Granat (HR) 8–11
T 9 Konstantin Kambolov Richard Granat (3B) 9–11
T 9 Konstantin Iakovlev Konstantin Kambolov (2B) 10–11
T 10 Marat Tsybysheva Konstantin Iakovlev (1B) 11–11
T 10 Philipp Savinykh Marat Tsybysheva (2B) 12–11
T 12 Marat Chernov Philipp Savinykh (3B) 13–11
T 12 Marat Chernov Ostap Zabolotny (2B) 14–11
T 12 Marat Chernov Marat Chernov (HR) 15–11
T 14 Marat Tsybysheva Marat Chernov (3B) 16–11
T 14 Konstantin Iakovlev Daniil Medvedev (3B) 17–11
T 14 Andrey Fomina-Klotz Heorhiy Trubin (3B) 18–11
T 14 Andrey Fomina-Klotz Marat Tsybysheva (2B) 19–11
T 14 Andrey Fomina-Klotz Konstantin Iakovlev (1B) 20–11
T 14 Andrey Fomina-Klotz Andrey Fomina-Klotz (HR) 21–11
T 14 Lev Fokina Andrey Fomina-Klotz (3B) 22–11
T 14 Philipp Savinykh Lev Fokina (2B) 23–11
T 15 Marat Chernov Philipp Savinykh (3B) 24–11
T 15 Marat Chernov Ostap Zabolotny (1B) 25–11
T 16 Heorhiy Trubin Marat Chernov (2B) 26–11
T 20 Andrey Fomina-Klotz Andrey Fomina-Klotz (HR) 27–11
T 20 Lev Fokina Andrey Fomina-Klotz (3B) 28–11
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Edwards Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 278' · CF 358' · RF 290' · 12' wall). The Bandbox.
Verkhnegrad Imperials — Batted Balls
25 BIP· 5 1B · 8 XBH · 5 HR
278' 358' 290' Marat Chernov — double · EV 114 mph · LA +26° · 407 ft Richard Granat — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA +10° · 115 ft Konstantin Kambolov — single · EV 97 mph · LA +6° · 92 ft Marat Tsybysheva — hr · EV 115 mph · LA +43° · 480 ft Lev Fokina — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +44° · 355 ft Philipp Savinykh — single · EV 119 mph · LA +6° · 113 ft Heorhiy Trubin — fielders_choice · EV 88 mph · LA +7° · 84 ft Richard Granat — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +32° · 359 ft Konstantin Kambolov — double · EV 116 mph · LA +13° · 238 ft Konstantin Iakovlev — single · EV 113 mph · LA +14° · 244 ft Marat Tsybysheva — double · EV 119 mph · LA +20° · 366 ft Philipp Savinykh — single · EV 90 mph · LA +2° · 85 ft Lev Fokina — double · EV 100 mph · LA +22° · 283 ft Heorhiy Trubin — double · EV 112 mph · LA +13° · 220 ft Marat Chernov — double · EV 100 mph · LA +19° · 248 ft Andrey Fomina-Klotz — hr · EV 113 mph · LA +36° · 480 ft Philipp Savinykh — triple · EV 101 mph · LA +23° · 293 ft Konstantin Iakovlev — ground_out · EV 97 mph · LA -11° · 92 ft Lev Fokina — single · EV 100 mph · LA -18° · 95 ft Marat Chernov — hr · EV 106 mph · LA +46° · 453 ft Marat Chernov — double · EV 119 mph · LA +16° · 298 ft Richard Granat — line_out · EV 105 mph · LA +16° · 227 ft Andrey Fomina-Klotz — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +26° · 318 ft Philipp Savinykh — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA +9° · 117 ft Marat Chernov — double_play · EV 100 mph · LA +2° · 95 ft
Graz Broncos — Batted Balls
24 BIP· 9 1B · 1 XBH · 2 HR
278' 358' 290' Mitty Schiffman — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA -13° · 49 ft Garang Collins — single · EV 62 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Nelson Covilhã — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft Chimezie Gueye — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 133 ft Wellington Mazarura — error · EV 60 mph · LA +2° · 57 ft Sofiane Naidji — hr · EV 92 mph · LA +43° · 337 ft Henry Ndour — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +2° · 50 ft Sofiane Hakimi — single · EV 65 mph · LA +14° · 79 ft Udanta Pandey — double · EV 92 mph · LA +38° · 330 ft Pradip Jadhav — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 174 ft Ruan Engelbrecht — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +60° · 293 ft Garang Collins — single · EV 52 mph · LA +18° · 64 ft Wellington Mazarura — error · EV 52 mph · LA -17° · 49 ft Hugo Webó — single · EV 57 mph · LA +24° · 96 ft Sofiane Naidji — single · EV 58 mph · LA +20° · 87 ft Subba Iyer — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +0° · 49 ft Henry Ndour — ground_out · EV 54 mph · LA -19° · 51 ft Kevon Boganowski — single · EV 76 mph · LA -19° · 72 ft Peter Bothma — single · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 165 ft Bezabeh Abebe — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA +1° · 55 ft Wellington Mazarura — ground_out · EV 57 mph · LA +25° · 98 ft Nelson Covilhã — single · EV 76 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft Hugo Webó — hr · EV 104 mph · LA +26° · 344 ft Subba Iyer — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +0° · 74 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Verkhnegrad Imperials
97% deserve-to-win  ·  25.1 expected runs
actual 28 runs  ·  +2.9 vs expected
contact: 37.9 est bases + 11 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 41.0 (+3.1 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Andrey Fomina-Klotz 100 / +26° Pull Home Run 1.4 → 4 +2.56
Richard Granat 100 / +32° Pull Home Run 1.6 → 4 +2.43
Philipp Savinykh 101 / +23° Pull Triple 1.5 → 3 +1.46
Richard Granat 105 / +16° Pull Out 1.4 → 0 -1.38
Lev Fokina 94 / +44° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Graz Broncos
3% deserve-to-win  ·  4.7 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  +6.3 vs expected
contact: 10.8 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 19.0 (+8.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Sofiane Naidji 92 / +43° Oppo Home Run 1.2 → 4 +2.78
Hugo Webó 104 / +26° Pull Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.94
Udanta Pandey 92 / +38° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Kevon Boganowski 76 / -19° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.75
Nelson Covilhã 76 / -2° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
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