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Seville Continental Garage 11, Hamburg BK 9                 2046-04-25 · #1114
at Hamburg Park
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                        1    R    H    E
Seville                11   11   11    0
Hamburg                 9    9    8    0

SEVILLE CONTINENTAL GARAGE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Brook       cf ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Sané        2b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Lange       lf ......    2   3   1   0   0   1   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Nagelsmann  ss ......    3   2   3   2   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Carmona     1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
Parra       3b ......    1   2   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Ferhat      rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Bhuiyan     p  ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Zografo c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  21  11  11   5   0   2  10   2   1   0   0  0.524
  2B: Brook (2), Nagelsmann 2 (11), Parra (8), Bhuiyan (2).
  HR: Lange (6), off Hosny; Carmona (4), off Halstenberg.
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

HAMBURG BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Ramadan     2b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Tolkin  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Bussaglia   rf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   1   0  0.250
Groß        cf ......    4   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Natale      c  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  b-Krause  pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Natale      lf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Iamalea pr ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Boattin     ss ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Paños       3b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Hosny       p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Randle  pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  e-Fontecc ph ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
  f-Simonet ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bos         j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Mandi       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  31   9   8   4   0   0   4   4  10   1   0  0.258
  2B: Fontecchio (5), Natale (4), Boattin (4), Iamaleava (1).
  SB: Tolkin (2), Groß (1).
  HBP: Natale (1), Simonetti (1).
  GIDP: Simonetti (1).
  a-Ran for Ramadan in the 1st.
  b-Ran for Natale in the 2nd.
  c-Ran for Natale in the 2nd.
  d-Ran for Hosny in the 3rd.
  e-Batted for Mandi in the 2nd.
  f-Batted for Tolkin in the 3rd.

SEVILLE CONTINENTAL GARAGE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bhuiyan .............    15    9  33%    5    6    6    2    1    0   50    -
Lehmann (W, 3-1) ....    14   11  41%    3    2    2    2    4    0   59    -
Wolf ................     8    7  26%    0    1    1    0    5    0   39  1-1

HAMBURG BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Hosny (L, 1-5) ......    10    6  22%    3    4    4    2    0    1   34    -
Angelis .............     4    2   7%    2    2    1    0    0    0   14  1-1
Ouali ...............     4    1   4%    3    3    3    0    0    0   14  1-1
Halstenberg .........     5    3  11%    3    2    2    0    1    1   14  1-0

  Batting order: Hamburg BK (home) batted first; Seville Continental Garage batted second.
  First pitch 7:15 PM CET. Weather: 66°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Heavy rain · Humid. seed 58061.
  Walk-Back runs: off Angelis 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 4 Alex Fontecchio Manfred Groß (3B) 0–1
B 4 Amedeo Di Natale İsmet Krause (3B) 0–2
B 4 Franklin Boattin Alex Fontecchio (3B) 0–3
B 7 Raffaele Simonetti Bruce Iamaleava (3B) 0–4
B 7 Antoine Bussaglia Franklin Boattin (3B) 0–5
B 8 Antoine Bussaglia Antwone Randle (3B) 0–6
B 13 Philip Bos Bruce Iamaleava (3B) 0–7
B 19 Alex Fontecchio Keagan Paños (3B) 0–8
B 22 Keagan Paños Manfred Groß (3B) 0–9
T 1 Alan Nagelsmann Robert Lange (2B) 1–9
T 5 Belal Bhuiyan Gijs Parra (2B) 2–9
T 6 Robert Lange Belal Bhuiyan (1B) 3–9
T 6 Robert Lange Robert Lange (HR) 4–9
T 6 Jarell Brook Robert Lange (3B) 5–9
T 6 Alan Nagelsmann Jarell Brook (2B) 6–9
T 8 Roman Sané Alan Nagelsmann (3B) 7–9
T 8 Gijs Parra Roman Sané (1B) 8–9
T 9 Belal Bhuiyan Gijs Parra (2B) 9–9
T 12 Yeison Carmona Alan Nagelsmann (3B) 10–9
T 12 Yeison Carmona Yeison Carmona (HR) 11–9
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Hamburg Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 275' · CF 355' · RF 290' · 58' wall). The Bandbox.
Knothole Gates Bullpens in Play
Seville Continental Garage — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 4 1B · 5 XBH · 2 HR
275' 355' 290' Wall 58' Jarell Brook — line_out · EV 82 mph · LA +23° · 193 ft Alan Nagelsmann — single · EV 119 mph · LA +5° · 113 ft Aristotelis Zografos — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +3° · 78 ft Roman Sané — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA -15° · 79 ft Amayas Ferhat — fielders_choice · EV 94 mph · LA -0° · 89 ft Belal Bhuiyan — single · EV 88 mph · LA -15° · 84 ft Robert Lange — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +42° · 480 ft Gijs Parra — double · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 137 ft Jarell Brook — double · EV 107 mph · LA +15° · 225 ft Alan Nagelsmann — double · EV 99 mph · LA +19° · 241 ft Yeison Carmona — line_out · EV 112 mph · LA +17° · 283 ft Roman Sané — single · EV 88 mph · LA +12° · 130 ft Amayas Ferhat — line_out · EV 94 mph · LA +23° · 255 ft Belal Bhuiyan — double · EV 95 mph · LA +48° · 357 ft Robert Lange — fly_out · EV 99 mph · LA +30° · 342 ft Jarell Brook — infield_single · EV 72 mph · LA +8° · 68 ft Alan Nagelsmann — double · EV 100 mph · LA +23° · 291 ft Yeison Carmona — hr · EV 104 mph · LA +34° · 400 ft
Hamburg BK — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 4 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
275' 355' 290' Wall 58' Hussein Ramadan — single · EV 87 mph · LA +37° · 294 ft Antoine Bussaglia — ground_out · EV 73 mph · LA +2° · 69 ft Manfred Groß — fielders_choice · EV 71 mph · LA -4° · 68 ft Alex Fontecchio — double · EV 94 mph · LA +39° · 349 ft Amedeo Di Natale — double · EV 96 mph · LA +11° · 134 ft Franklin Boattin — double · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 216 ft Keagan Paños — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA -14° · 73 ft Philip Bos — line_out · EV 56 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Bruce Iamaleava — double · EV 98 mph · LA +30° · 336 ft Raffaele Simonetti — double_play · EV 105 mph · LA +10° · 149 ft Mehdi Mandi — fly_out · EV 53 mph · LA +32° · 101 ft Antoine Bussaglia — single · EV 80 mph · LA +14° · 121 ft Alex Fontecchio — ground_out · EV 116 mph · LA +8° · 152 ft Keagan Paños — single · EV 84 mph · LA +24° · 209 ft Philip Bos — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +1° · 87 ft Antoine Bussaglia — line_out · EV 91 mph · LA +25° · 253 ft Manfred Groß — single · EV 83 mph · LA +13° · 117 ft Alex Fontecchio — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +33° · 213 ft Philip Bos — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -8° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Seville Continental Garage
62% deserve-to-win  ·  11.0 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  as expected
contact: 19.9 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 22.0 (+2.1 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Yeison Carmona 104 / +34° Oppo Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.91
Yeison Carmona 112 / +17° Center Out 1.7 → 0 -1.73
Belal Bhuiyan 95 / +48° Center Double 0.4 → 2 +1.58
Robert Lange 99 / +30° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.17
Amayas Ferhat 94 / +23° Oppo Out 1.0 → 0 -1.00
Hamburg BK
38% deserve-to-win  ·  8.7 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +0.3 vs expected
contact: 12.8 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (-0.8 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Alex Fontecchio 116 / +8° Pull Out 1.5 → 0 -1.52
Raffaele Simonetti 105 / +10° Center Double Play 1.4 → 0 -1.39
Franklin Boattin 92 / +20° Oppo Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Alex Fontecchio 94 / +39° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Bruce Iamaleava 98 / +30° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.83
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