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Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers 5, Yagodnoye Sharks 4             2046-04-25 · #1102
at Starc Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Yagodnoye               4    4    9    0
Zaporizhzhia            5    5    7    0

YAGODNOYE SHARKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Hasegawa    lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Valiev      3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Terrell pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Chamberlin  c  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-William pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Nembhardov  1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Isaeva  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Grebenyuk   2b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
  d-Danilin pr ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
DeMelo      cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Ledovsk cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Efremova    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Chalova ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Motovilov   rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kravchuk    p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Goloviz ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  h-Tkachen ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  i-Savinyk pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Fedorov     j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Lapushchenk j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Aalto       j  ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0  0.667
Totals                  28   4   9   1   0   0   4   4   8   1   0  0.321
  2B: Chamberlin (1).
  SB: Nembhardov (1).
  HBP: Chamberlin (1), Lapushchenkova (2).
  GIDP: Aalto (1).
  a-Ran for Valiev in the 9th.
  b-Ran for Chamberlin in the 6th.
  c-Ran for Nembhardov in the 6th.
  d-Ran for Grebenyuk in the 6th.
  e-Replaced DeMelo at CF in the 9th.
  f-Singled for Efremova in the 6th.
  g-Grounded out for Kravchuk in the 7th.
  h-Struck out for Aalto in the 8th.
  i-Ran for Chalova in the 9th.

ZAPORIZHZHIA BOILERMAKERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Goodling    ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Li          lf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Klassen     p  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Peña        c  ......    2   2   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Meza        3b ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Figueroa    cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Smith       2b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Bartkowicz  rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Macdona ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Belcher     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Cota        j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Soeda       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  15   5   7   1   0   0   3   3   4   0   0  0.467
  2B: Meza (1).
  GIDP: Figueroa (1).
  a-Entered at SS in the 7th.

YAGODNOYE SHARKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kravchuk (L, 0-1) ...    13    7  26%    5    4    4    2    3    0   50    -
Stoliarov ...........     5    3  11%    2    1    1    1    1    0   22  1-0

ZAPORIZHZHIA BOILERMAKERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Klassen (W, 5-0) ....    32   26  96%    8    3    3    4    8    0   98    -
Monticelli ..........     2    1   4%    1    1    1    0    0    0    7  2-1

  Batting order: Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers (home) batted second; Yagodnoye Sharks batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 42°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Humid. seed 32683.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 2 Lee Chamberlin Mikhail Lapushchenkova (1B) 1–0
T 16 Taras Chalova Micah Williams (3B) 2–0
T 26 Magomed Danilina Lev Savinykh (3B) 3–0
T 26 Lev Savinykh Marmaduke Terrell (3B) 4–0
B 0 Owen Goodling Cole Klassen (3B) 4–1
B 0 Owen Goodling Tony Peña (3B) 4–2
B 1 Jakob Macdonald Paul Li (3B) 4–3
B 6 Cole Klassen Jam Smith (2B) 4–4
B 10 Harry Meza Tony Peña (2B) 4–5
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Starc Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 377' · CF 443' · RF 351' · 13' wall). Cavernous.
Death Valley
Yagodnoye Sharks — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 8 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
377' 443' 351' Ilia Fedorov — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA -1° · 87 ft Lee Chamberlin — double · EV 88 mph · LA +18° · 176 ft Eemil Aalto — double_play · EV 92 mph · LA -9° · 87 ft Benton DeMelo — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +29° · 226 ft Anton Efremova — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA -4° · 76 ft Zakhar Kravchuk — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +4° · 78 ft Hidehiko Hasegawa — fielders_choice · EV 89 mph · LA +6° · 85 ft Mikhail Lapushchenkova — single · EV 84 mph · LA -2° · 80 ft Taras Chalova — single · EV 86 mph · LA +15° · 145 ft Magomed Danilina — single · EV 86 mph · LA +2° · 81 ft Gleb Ledovskikh — single · EV 76 mph · LA -14° · 72 ft Lev Savinykh — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA -5° · 79 ft Ilia Fedorov — single · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 81 ft Magomed Valiev — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +27° · 212 ft Eemil Aalto — infield_single · EV 70 mph · LA -21° · 66 ft Avery Nembhardov — single · EV 95 mph · LA +26° · 279 ft Alen Motovilov — line_out · EV 85 mph · LA +15° · 144 ft Hidehiko Hasegawa — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -4° · 78 ft Ilia Fedorov — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +28° · 233 ft Eemil Aalto — infield_single · EV 60 mph · LA -5° · 57 ft
Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 6 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
377' 443' 351' Cole Klassen — single · EV 83 mph · LA +12° · 109 ft Tony Peña — single · EV 106 mph · LA +9° · 136 ft Jakob Macdonald — infield_single · EV 70 mph · LA -10° · 67 ft Alex Belcher — fly_out · EV 65 mph · LA +36° · 159 ft Jeyland Figueroa — double_play · EV 78 mph · LA +4° · 74 ft Jam Smith — single · EV 87 mph · LA +12° · 126 ft Kareem Bartkowicz — single · EV 91 mph · LA -14° · 86 ft Harry Meza — double · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 259 ft Cole Klassen — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA -4° · 68 ft Tony Peña — single · EV 85 mph · LA +12° · 112 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Yagodnoye Sharks
71% deserve-to-win  ·  6.3 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -2.3 vs expected
contact: 8.3 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (+1.7 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Lee Chamberlin 88 / +18° Center Double 0.7 → 2 +1.29
Eemil Aalto 60 / -5° Center Stay 0.1 → 1 +0.86
Eemil Aalto 70 / -21° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.85
Gleb Ledovskikh 76 / -14° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.75
Mikhail Lapushchenkova 84 / -2° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.65
Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers
29% deserve-to-win  ·  4.1 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +0.9 vs expected
contact: 5.9 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (+2.1 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jakob Macdonald 70 / -10° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Harry Meza 100 / +20° Pull Double 1.3 → 2 +0.68
Kareem Bartkowicz 91 / -14° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.55
Cole Klassen 83 / +12° Pull Single 0.6 → 1 +0.38
Tony Peña 106 / +9° Oppo Single 1.4 → 1 -0.38
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