==============================================================================
Regensburg Samurai 4, Rijeka Beisbol Klub 3                 2046-04-24 · #1091
at Brew Ground
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
Regensburg              4    4    5    0
Rijeka                  3    3    5    0

REGENSBURG SAMURAI
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Vukojević   lf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Pikkujämsä  c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Halttun nf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Bhatia  cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Salin   3b ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Akpınar c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Magbegor    j  ......    1   1   1   0   1   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Kauppinen   j  ......    1   1   1   0   1   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Seppälä     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                   9   4   5   1   2   0   4   0   3   0   0  0.556
  2B: Salin (2).
  3B: Magbegor (1), Kauppinen (1).
  a-Entered at NF in the 3rd.
  b-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at 3B in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at C in the 5th.

RIJEKA BEISBOL KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Toivonen    2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Klose       1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Jokela  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Mustafi     lf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Magull  pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Tuovi       3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Koponen pr ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Halonen     c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Carleton    cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Frohms      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Tammine ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
  e-Bühl    ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
  f-Jaakkol 2b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Muurinen    j  ......    3   2   1   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Mikkonen    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Nurmi       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  30   3   5   1   1   0   2   3  16   0   0  0.167
  2B: Jaakkola (2).
  3B: Muurinen (1).
  SB: Magull (4).
  a-Ran for Klose in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Mustafi in the 2nd.
  c-Ran for Tuovi in the 6th.
  d-Batted in the 1st.
  e-Batted in the 2nd.
  f-Replaced Mikkonen at 2B in the 5th.

REGENSBURG SAMURAI PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kallio (W, 2-1) .....    17   14  52%    3    2    2    1    7    0   64    -
Moilanen ............    16   13  48%    2    1    1    2    9    0   68  1-1

RIJEKA BEISBOL KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Frohms (L) ..........     4    1   4%    3    2    2    0    1    0   15    -
Ahtinen .............     5    3  11%    2    2    2    0    2    0   20  1-1

  Batting order: Rijeka Beisbol Klub (home) batted first; Regensburg Samurai batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 43°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Dry. seed 349784.
  Powerplays: Regensburg Samurai — Halttunen NF (O1)
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 14 Justus Klose Lauri Muurinen (3B) 0–1
B 14 Lauri Muurinen Tim Jokela (1B) 0–2
B 15 Manuel Magull Lauri Muurinen (3B) 0–3
T 1 Jeff Magbegor Danijel Vukojević (1B) 1–3
T 1 Leevi Salin Jeff Magbegor (3B) 2–3
T 2 Robert Kauppinen Leevi Salin (3B) 3–3
T 4 Germanpreet Bhatia Robert Kauppinen (3B) 4–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Brew Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 343' · CF 467' · RF 378' · 10' wall). Cavernous.
Regensburg Samurai — Batted Balls
5 BIP· 2 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
343' 467' 378' Danijel Vukojević — single · EV 88 mph · LA +20° · 199 ft Jeff Magbegor — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +35° · 374 ft Leevi Salin — double · EV 119 mph · LA +25° · 430 ft Robert Kauppinen — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 163 ft Germanpreet Bhatia — single · EV 88 mph · LA +3° · 84 ft
Rijeka Beisbol Klub — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
343' 467' 378' Lauri Muurinen — fielders_choice · EV 70 mph · LA +5° · 66 ft Leevi Nurmi — ground_out · EV 55 mph · LA -25° · 53 ft Robin Mustafi — single · EV 97 mph · LA -4° · 92 ft Joni Tuovi — line_out · EV 99 mph · LA +18° · 226 ft Brunno Carleton — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +1° · 82 ft Hannu Koponen — single · EV 76 mph · LA -18° · 72 ft Justus Klose — single · EV 98 mph · LA +20° · 250 ft Lauri Muurinen — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +19° · 250 ft Olivier Jaakkola — double · EV 91 mph · LA +50° · 330 ft Mikael Mikkonen — fielders_choice · EV 90 mph · LA -6° · 85 ft Leevi Nurmi — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA -11° · 80 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Regensburg Samurai
50% deserve-to-win  ·  3.0 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +1.0 vs expected
contact: 7.8 est bases + 0 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (+2.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Robert Kauppinen 100 / +12° Pull Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.74
Leevi Salin 119 / +25° Oppo Double 3.0 → 2 -1.03
Jeff Magbegor 100 / +35° Oppo Triple 2.1 → 3 +0.91
Germanpreet Bhatia 88 / +3° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.57
Danijel Vukojević 88 / +20° Center Single 1.0 → 1 -0.01
Rijeka Beisbol Klub
50% deserve-to-win  ·  3.0 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  as expected
contact: 6.8 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (+1.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Olivier Jaakkola 91 / +50° Center Double 0.4 → 2 +1.58
Lauri Muurinen 100 / +19° Pull Triple 1.5 → 3 +1.46
Joni Tuovi 99 / +18° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Hannu Koponen 76 / -18° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Robin Mustafi 97 / -4° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.48
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →