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New York Royals 11, Brno Voyagers 10                        2046-04-24 · #1067
at Svendsen Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
Brno                   10   10    3    0
New York               11   11   12    0

BRNO VOYAGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Anderson    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Phangiso    2b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Stones      cf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Besler  pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Habib       3b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Lingard     lf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.000
Wright      rf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
Zima        1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Snyman  pr ......    0   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
  c-Parris  ph ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Johnson ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Palmer  ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
  f-Daniels ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.000
Warnock     j  ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Payne       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Vydra       j  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  30  10   3   1   0   0   8   7  17   0   0  0.100
  2B: Wright (2).
  SB: Vydra 2 (7), Habib (2).
  HBP: Warnock (2), Phangiso (3), Parris (1).
  a-Ran for Stones in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Zima in the 5th.
  c-Batted for Payne in the 1st.
  d-Batted in the 3rd.
  e-Batted in the 4th.
  f-Batted in the 4th.

NEW YORK ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Tasci       lf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Kagawa      p  ......    2   3   2   0   0   2   4   1   0   0   0  1.000
Jagdeo      2b ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Giggs       3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Magill      cf ......    3   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
King        ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Pavlenk pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Morgan      1b ......    2   2   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Clarke      rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Green   ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Vydra   c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Sookdeo     j  ......    2   2   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Liriano     j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Quansah     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28  11  12   3   0   3  11   3   5   0   0  0.429
  2B: Tasci (12), Jagdeo (3), Morgan (5).
  HR: Kagawa 2 (2), off McNamara, Morgan; Magill (2), off McTominay.
  HBP: Liriano (2).
  a-Ran for King in the 8th.
  b-Singled for Vydra in the 8th.
  c-Entered at C in the 7th.

BRNO VOYAGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
McNamara (L, 0-1) ...    14   10  37%    6    4    4    1    3    1   52    -
McTominay ...........     8    6  22%    3    3    2    1    1    1   32  1-0
Morgan ..............     5    3  11%    2    3    2    0    0    1   23  1-1
Atkinson ............     5    3  11%    1    1    1    1    1    0   21  1-0

NEW YORK ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kagawa ..............    15   11  41%    1    1    1    1    6    0   56    -
Clark ...............     7    3  11%    2    5    5    1    2    0   26  3-2
Osterloh (W) ........    14   10  37%    0    3    3    4    6    0   64  2-2
Magee ...............     4    3  11%    0    1    1    1    3    0   19  3-1

  Batting order: New York Royals (home) batted second; Brno Voyagers batted first.
  First pitch 7:35 PM ET. Weather: 38°F · Wind out · Clear · Dry. seed 455604.
  Walk-Back runs: off McTominay 1, off Morgan 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 3 Danny Parris Danny Warnock (2B) 1–0
T 12 Oliver Stones Luboš Vydra (3B) 2–0
T 13 Danny Parris Theunis Snyman (3B) 3–0
T 14 Jon Lingard Danny Warnock (3B) 4–0
T 14 Matisse Wright Oliver Besler (3B) 5–0
T 14 Matisse Wright Danny Parris (2B) 6–0
T 15 Danny Warnock Jon Lingard (3B) 7–0
T 16 Andy Palmer Matisse Wright (3B) 8–0
T 24 Roy Johnson Theunis Snyman (3B) 9–0
T 25 Yannic Daniels Ihsan Habib (3B) 10–0
B 6 Cristian Liriano Marcus Morgan (2B) 10–1
B 10 Nico Tasci Bhojraj Sookdeo (2B) 10–2
B 10 Kisho Kagawa Nico Tasci (2B) 10–3
B 10 Kisho Kagawa Kisho Kagawa (HR) 10–4
B 13 Sean Magill Sean Magill (HR) 10–5
B 13 Marcus Morgan Sean Magill (3B) 10–6
B 15 Bhojraj Sookdeo Marcus Morgan (2B) 10–7
B 19 Kisho Kagawa Bhojraj Sookdeo (1B) 10–8
B 19 Kisho Kagawa Kisho Kagawa (HR) 10–9
B 19 Bhaskar Jagdeo Kisho Kagawa (3B) 10–10
B 22 Roy Green Viktor Pavlenka (2B) 10–11
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Svendsen Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 285' · CF 355' · RF 291' · 59' wall). The Bandbox.
Trolley Shed The Spite Fence Bullpens in Play
Brno Voyagers — Batted Balls
9 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
285' 355' 291' Wall 59' Danny Warnock — single · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 214 ft Danny Parris — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Luboš Vydra — fielders_choice · EV 83 mph · LA +10° · 93 ft Oliver Stones — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 122 ft Ihsan Habib — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +28° · 284 ft Matisse Wright — double · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 159 ft Danny Warnock — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA +0° · 77 ft Cathal Payne — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Matisse Wright — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft
New York Royals — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 6 1B · 3 XBH · 3 HR
285' 355' 291' Wall 59' Nico Tasci — fly_out · EV 113 mph · LA +60° · 440 ft Bhaskar Jagdeo — single · EV 100 mph · LA +8° · 112 ft Emile King — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA -2° · 71 ft Marcus Morgan — double · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 254 ft Cristian Liriano — single · EV 110 mph · LA +3° · 104 ft Bhojraj Sookdeo — single · EV 88 mph · LA -10° · 84 ft Aleš Vydra — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -8° · 72 ft Kisho Kagawa — hr · EV 98 mph · LA +43° · 387 ft Roy Green — single · EV 109 mph · LA +14° · 218 ft Nico Tasci — double · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 238 ft Bhaskar Jagdeo — line_out · EV 91 mph · LA +12° · 139 ft Carwyn Giggs — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +1° · 73 ft Sean Magill — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +45° · 400 ft Marcus Morgan — single · EV 86 mph · LA +15° · 151 ft Bhojraj Sookdeo — single · EV 100 mph · LA -5° · 95 ft Aleš Vydra — line_out · EV 82 mph · LA +15° · 133 ft Kisho Kagawa — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +30° · 480 ft Emile King — fielders_choice · EV 108 mph · LA +7° · 103 ft Bhaskar Jagdeo — double · EV 118 mph · LA +10° · 192 ft Sean Magill — ground_out · EV 118 mph · LA +9° · 176 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Brno Voyagers
12% deserve-to-win  ·  4.9 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  +5.1 vs expected
contact: 5.6 est bases + 10 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-1.6 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 0 CS (+0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Matisse Wright 92 / +14° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Ihsan Habib 92 / +28° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Luboš Vydra 83 / +10° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Danny Warnock 100 / +16° Center Single 1.5 → 1 -0.54
Oliver Stones 76 / +16° Pull Single 0.6 → 1 +0.40
New York Royals
88% deserve-to-win  ·  13.4 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  -2.4 vs expected
contact: 23.2 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 24.0 (+0.8 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Kisho Kagawa 98 / +43° Center Home Run 1.9 → 4 +2.05
Nico Tasci 113 / +60° Center Out 1.6 → 0 -1.64
Sean Magill 118 / +9° Oppo Out 1.5 → 0 -1.53
Sean Magill 100 / +45° Pull Home Run 2.5 → 4 +1.49
Kisho Kagawa 119 / +30° Oppo Home Run 3.0 → 4 +0.97
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