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New York Royals 4, Brno Voyagers 3                          2046-04-23 · #1028
at Svendsen Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
Brno                    3    3    6    0
New York                4    4    7    0

BRNO VOYAGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Anderson    ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Parris      3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Habib   3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Stones      cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Besler  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Palmer      2b ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Yeargin     c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Wright      rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Lingard     lf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  c-Doyle   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Kruger      p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Phangis ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Sýkora  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  f-Snyman  pr ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  g-Joseph  pr ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Warnock     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Payne       j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  0.333
Vydra       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   3   6   3   0   0   3   3   7   0   1  0.231
  2B: Palmer (5), Snyman (1), Joseph (1).
  SB: Doyle (2), Besler (3).
  CS: Palmer (4), Joseph (1).
  HBP: Lingard (1).
  GIDP: Phangiso (1).
  GITP: Parris (1).
  a-Replaced Parris at 3B in the 8th.
  b-Ran for Stones in the 6th.
  c-Ran for Lingard in the 3rd.
  d-Batted in the 3rd.
  e-Walked in the 5th.
  f-Ran in the 5th.
  g-Ran for Sýkora in the 5th.

NEW YORK ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Jagdeo      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Green       ss ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Tasci       lf ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Pavlenka    1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-King    ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Morgan      cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Sabga       p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   .000
  b-Fitzger ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Frías   nf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  d-Vydra   c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Jack    lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  f-Bhagwan pr ......    0   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  g-O'Conno pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  h-Pospíši ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  i-Delgado ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Liriano     j  ......    3   0   2   1   1   0   4   0   1   0   0  0.667
Sookdeo     j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Quansah     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   4   7   2   1   0   4   2   8   0   1  0.269
  2B: Liriano (4), Tasci (11).
  3B: Liriano (1).
  a-Singled for Pavlenka in the 6th.
  b-Grounded out for Sabga in the 7th.
  c-Entered at NF in the 6th.
  d-Entered at C in the 7th.
  e-Entered at LF in the 9th.
  f-Ran for King in the 6th.
  g-Ran for Frías in the 6th.
  h-Grounded out for Vydra in the 7th.
  i-Struck out for O'Connor in the 8th.

BRNO VOYAGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kruger ..............    18   16  59%    6    1    1    0    6    0   60    -
McKenna (L, 0-2) ....    10    8  30%    1    3    3    2    2    0   28  2-0

NEW YORK ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Sabga (W, 1-1) ......    30   27 100%    6    3    3    3    7    0  115    -

  Batting order: New York Royals (home) batted second; Brno Voyagers batted first.
  First pitch 6:30 PM ET. Weather: 38°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 47420.
  Powerplays: New York Royals — Frías NF (O6)
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 16 Andy Palmer Theunis Snyman (3B) 1–0
T 16 Theunis Snyman Oliver Besler (3B) 2–0
T 16 Theunis Snyman Andy Palmer (1B) 3–0
B 13 Cristian Liriano Roy Green (1B) 3–1
B 24 Cristian Liriano Liam O'Connor (3B) 3–2
B 24 Cristian Liriano Rohan-Brandon Bhagwan (2B) 3–3
B 24 Cristian Liriano Rohan-Brandon Bhagwan (2B) 3–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Svendsen Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 285' · CF 355' · RF 291' · 59' wall). The Bandbox.
Trolley Shed The Spite Fence Bullpens in Play
Brno Voyagers — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 3 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
285' 355' 291' Wall 59' Kieran Anderson — single · EV 96 mph · LA +14° · 172 ft Cathal Payne — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA +2° · 70 ft Andy Palmer — double · EV 92 mph · LA +24° · 249 ft Dominique Yeargin — fielders_choice · EV 94 mph · LA -3° · 89 ft Matisse Wright — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA +10° · 117 ft Danny Parris — triple_play · EV 93 mph · LA +6° · 88 ft Theunis Snyman — double · EV 101 mph · LA +10° · 141 ft Yannic Joseph — double · EV 91 mph · LA +14° · 162 ft Oliver Besler — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +40° · 228 ft Cathal Payne — fly_out · EV 55 mph · LA +43° · 121 ft Andy Palmer — single · EV 77 mph · LA +15° · 117 ft Matisse Wright — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -5° · 75 ft Brandon Phangiso — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Auston Kruger — ground_out · EV 63 mph · LA +7° · 60 ft Cathal Payne — single · EV 82 mph · LA -8° · 78 ft Andy Palmer — line_out · EV 75 mph · LA +11° · 86 ft
New York Royals — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 4 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
285' 355' 291' Wall 59' Nico Tasci — double · EV 98 mph · LA +27° · 313 ft José Frías — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +10° · 86 ft Bhojraj Sookdeo — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA +1° · 79 ft Murray Jack — single · EV 82 mph · LA +13° · 115 ft Bhaskar Jagdeo — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +28° · 254 ft Emile King — single · EV 93 mph · LA -1° · 89 ft Nico Tasci — fly_out · EV 73 mph · LA +38° · 206 ft Roy Green — fielders_choice · EV 67 mph · LA -16° · 64 ft Cristian Liriano — triple · EV 113 mph · LA +19° · 307 ft Bhojraj Sookdeo — single · EV 85 mph · LA -2° · 80 ft José Frías — single · EV 83 mph · LA +22° · 190 ft Murray Jack — fly_out · EV 90 mph · LA +19° · 195 ft Marcus Morgan — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +11° · 120 ft Roy Green — line_out · EV 81 mph · LA +21° · 174 ft Cristian Liriano — double · EV 111 mph · LA +21° · 335 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Brno Voyagers
34% deserve-to-win  ·  4.1 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -1.1 vs expected
contact: 8.5 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (+0.5 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 2 CS (-1.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Yannic Joseph 91 / +14° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Andy Palmer 92 / +24° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
Matisse Wright 91 / +10° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Theunis Snyman 101 / +10° Center Double 1.3 → 2 +0.74
Cathal Payne 82 / -8° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.64
New York Royals
66% deserve-to-win  ·  5.7 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -1.7 vs expected
contact: 11.3 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (-0.3 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Cristian Liriano 113 / +19° Pull Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.27
Murray Jack 90 / +19° Oppo Out 1.0 → 0 -1.01
Marcus Morgan 88 / +11° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Nico Tasci 98 / +27° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.84
Bhaskar Jagdeo 88 / +28° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
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